Match Info

Championship - Round 8

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: LNER stadium (Lincoln)

Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Lincoln City		Swansea City

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.32	Watch
	2.90	3.30	2.40
	2.95	3.29	2.41	Watch
	3.04	3.35	2.47
	2.9	3.39	2.42	Watch
	3	3.3	2.4
	2.94	3.18	2.41	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.69)	3.28 ↓ (3.38)	2.4 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lincoln City
31.9%

Draw
28.8%

Swansea City
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

27.5%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

27.5%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

Lincoln City - Swansea City Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Swansea will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swansea: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wickens G. (G) 25. Elerewe D. 6. Towler R. 15. Bradley S. (C) 4. Coubis A. 8. Bayliss T. 14. McGrandles C. 3. Reach A. 7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 18. House B. 34. Draper F.	22. Vigouroux L. (G) 26. Lissah F. 5. Cabango B. (C) 23. Welsh S. 14. Tymon J. 8. Just E. 6. Stamenic M. 46. Eustaquio S. 49. Yeo M. K. 33. Idah A. 7. Widell M.
Substitutes
46. Gauci J. (G) 16. Jefferies D. 26. Konak Y. E. 11. Ladefoged M. 27. Ogbene C. 33. Oyegoke D. 17. Street R. 24. Varfolomeev I. 29. Wheatley E.	1. Fisher A. (G) 17. Franco G. 4. Fulton J. 16. Iorpenda T. 30. Opoku J. 20. Parente T. 35. Ronald 3. Seelt J. 9. Vipotnik Z.
Coaches
Shaw T.	Emanuel Soares Matos V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', House B. 🟨,
25', Towler R. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Hackett-Fairchild R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', 1 - 1, Yeo M. K. ⚽, Widell M. (A),
51', 1 - 2, Eustaquio S. ⚽, Lissah F. (A),
60', Idah A. ↓, Vipotnik Z. ↑,
60', Just E. ↓, Opoku J. ↑,
60', Yeo M. K. ↓, Ronald ↑,
64', Reach A. ↓, Ogbene C. ↑,
64', McGrandles C. ↓, Konak Y. E. ↑,
64', House B. ↓, Ladefoged M. ↑,
77', Eustaquio S. ↓, Franco G. ↑,
77', Towler R. ↓, Street R. ↑,
82', Welsh S. ↓, Seelt J. ↑,
84', Shaw T. 🟨,
90', Lissah F. 🟨,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 9th and 2nd in the Promotion ~ Premier League).

In recent outings, Lincoln has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Swansea shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Swansea could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Lincoln: Darikwa T. (Knee Injury) Melia M. (Thigh Injury).

Confirmed absences for Swansea: Burgess C. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Stewart R. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Lincoln: Hamer T. (Health problems).

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Swansea: 5.14%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Swansea	9	6	2	1	15:7	8	20
15	Lincoln	9	3	2	4	7:11	-4	11

Last Results with these Odds

Lincoln City - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.54%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Swansea City - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.96%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lincoln City
English League Championship
15.09.26	Bristol City - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Preston North End - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
08.09.26	Bournemouth - Lincoln City	4:0 ✺
English League Championship
05.09.26	Lincoln City - Southampton	1:1 ✺
01.09.26	Lincoln City - Blackburn Rovers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWLTT
- Swansea City
English League Championship
12.09.26	Swansea City - Burnley	3:1 ✺
08.09.26	Southampton - Swansea City	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Swansea City - Wrexham	0:0 ✺
01.09.26	Swansea City - Watford	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Derby County - Swansea City	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLTWW

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