Match Info

Championship - Round 6

Date: 15 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Ashton Gate Stadium (Bristol)

Referee: Robinson T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Bristol City		Lincoln City

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.50	4.10	Watch
	1.90	3.50	4.00
	1.81	3.50	4.25	Watch
	1.92	3.63	4.30
	1.95	3.49	3.92	Watch
	1.89	3.60	4.20
	1.89	3.44	3.99	Watch
	1.87	3.50	4.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.04)	3.52 ↑ (3.5)	4.1 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol City
50.2%

Draw
26.8%

Lincoln City
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

26.7%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

25.8%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Bristol City - Lincoln City Predictions

Users Predictions: Bristol City will win (30 of 36 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.15% – 95.51%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bristol City will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tickle S. (G) 21. Cardines R. 16. Dickie R. 2. Eissat L. 3. Pring C. 12. Knight J. (C) 27. Yah G. 17. Wallace J. 10. Twine S. 7. Hirakawa Y. 9. Tolaj L.	1. Wickens G. (G) 25. Elerewe D. 15. Bradley S. (C) 6. Towler R. 3. Reach A. 14. McGrandles C. 24. Varfolomeev I. 27. Ogbene C. 16. Jefferies D. 18. House B. 34. Draper F.
Substitutes
45. Adebayo E. 5. Atkinson R. 23. Ballard D. 11. Bell S. 40. Collins B. (G) 38. Eile N. 20. Greenwood S. 4. Randell A. 19. Tanner G.	8. Bayliss T. 4. Coubis A. 46. Gauci J. (G) 7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 26. Konak Y. E. 11. Ladefoged M. 19. Olaofe T. 33. Oyegoke D. 17. Street R.
Coaches
Skubala M.	Shaw T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', House B. 🟨,
28', Eissat L. 🟨,
37', Elerewe D. 🟨,
41', Tolaj L. 🟨,
45', Draper F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Draper F. ⚽, House B. (A),
59', Wallace J. ↓, Ballard D. ↑,
63', Ogbene C. ↓, Hackett-Fairchild R. ↑,
68', Towler R. 🟨,
69', Wickens G. 🟨,
71', Draper F. ↓, Street R. ↑,
71', Reach A. ↓, Oyegoke D. ↑,
76', Dickie R. ↓, Atkinson R. ↑,
76', Twine S. ↓, Greenwood S. ↑,
76', Tolaj L. ↓, Adebayo E. ↑,
86', Pring C. ↓, Bell S. ↑,
90+6', Varfolomeev I. ↓, Bayliss T. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 16).

Bristol City is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lincoln has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lincoln may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Bristol City has had a series of away games.

Bristol City could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bristol City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Including home match between the teams, Bristol City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Bristol City: 1.02%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Bristol City	9	4	2	3	12:13	-1	14
15	Lincoln	9	3	2	4	7:11	-4	11

Last Results with these Odds

Bristol City - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.81%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol City
English League Championship
12.09.26	Southampton - Bristol City	4:1 ✺
05.09.26	Burnley - Bristol City	1:2 ✺
01.09.26	Preston North End - Bristol City	1:3 ✺
29.08.26	Bristol City - Portsmouth	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Birmingham City - Bristol City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 LWWWT
- Lincoln City
English League Championship
12.09.26	Preston North End - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
08.09.26	Bournemouth - Lincoln City	4:0 ✺
English League Championship
05.09.26	Lincoln City - Southampton	1:1 ✺
01.09.26	Lincoln City - Blackburn Rovers	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Bolton Wanderers - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
08.11.22	Bristol City - Lincoln City	1:3

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