Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL TROPHY - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 13 December 2022, Tuesday

Location: LNER stadium (Lincoln)

Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)


	Lincoln City		Everton U21

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	3.4
	1.84	3.4	3.8
	1.96	3.5	3.5
	1.91	3.59	3.81
	1.8	3.5	3.75
	1.89	3.76	3.76
	1.94	3.45	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2)	3.51 ↓ (3.8)	3.65 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lincoln City
48.7%

Draw
26.1%

Everton U21
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

24.5%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

23.9%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Everton U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Everton U21 than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	18.7%	18.7%

Lincoln City - Everton U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Everton U21 will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Lincoln could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

Lincoln will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lincoln City
English League One
10.12.22	Lincoln City - Wycombe Wanderers	0:0 ✺
03.12.22	Shrewsbury Town - Lincoln City	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
22.11.22	Lincoln City - Morecambe	2:1 penalties ✺
English League One
19.11.22	Lincoln City - Morecambe	2:1 ✺
12.11.22	Lincoln City - Plymouth Argyle	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLWWT
- Everton U21
English Premier League Cup
06.12.22	Everton U21 - Colchester United U21	7:2 ✺
03.12.22	Birmingham City U21 - Everton U21	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
30.11.22	Everton U21 - Mansfield Town	2:1 ✺
English Premier League Cup
25.11.22	Everton U21 - Birmingham City U21	1:1 ✺
13.11.22	Everton U21 - Southampton U21	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWTL

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