Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 22

Date: 26 December 2024, Thursday

Location: The Croud Meadow (Shrewsbury)

Referee: Bourne D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Shrewsbury Town		Lincoln City

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.5	1.75
	4.4	3.3	1.82
	4.33	3.5	1.83
	4.71	3.59	1.86
	4.49	3.5	1.8	Watch
	4.4	3.4	1.85
	4.45	3.54	1.84	Watch
	4.33	3.5	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.45 ↑ (3.63)	3.48 ↓ (3.61)	1.82 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shrewsbury Town
21.2%

Draw
27.1%

Lincoln City
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

25.6%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

24.8%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	10%	60%

Shrewsbury Town - Lincoln City Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Shrewsbury will win (votes: 6 - 30%). Lincoln will win (votes: 12 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln: 38.5% – 81.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Blackman J. (G) 6. Feeney J. 16. Pierre A. 5. Feeney M. 2. Hoole L. 14. Perry T. 26. Shipley J. (C) 3. Benning M. 19. Castledine L. 18. Bloxham T. 9. Lloyd G.	1. Wickens G. (G) 16. Jefferies D. 15. O'Connor P. (C) 2. Darikwa T. 23. Roughan S. 6. Erhahon E. 14. McGrandles C. 27. Makama J. 18. House B. 7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 9. Cadamarteri B.
Substitutes
17. Gilliead A. 10. Kayode J. 27. Marquis J. 12. Ojo F. 29. O'Reilly T. 4. Rossiter J. 1. Savin T. (G)	8. Bayliss T. 34. Draper F. 17. Duffy D. 11. Hamilton E. 28. Moylan J. 21. Pardington J. (G) 29. Street R.
Coaches
Ainsworth G.	Skubala M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', O'Connor P. 🟨,
9', 1 - 0, Feeney M. ⚽, Benning M. (A),
28', Perry T. 🟨,
32', Erhahon E. 🟨,
34', Feeney M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Perry T. ↓, Ojo F. ↑,
62', Benning M. 🟨,
62', McGrandles C. ↓, Bayliss T. ↑,
62', Makama J. ↓, Moylan J. ↑,
65', Jefferies D. ↓, Duffy D. ↑,
71', Hackett-Fairchild R. 🟨,
71', Lloyd G. ↓, Marquis J. ↑,
72', Cadamarteri B. ↓, Draper F. ↑,
72', House B. ↓, Street R. ↑,
74', Pierre A. 🟨,
77', Bloxham T. ↓, Gilliead A. ↑,
85', Shipley J. ↓, Rossiter J. ↑,
88', Duffy D. 🟨,
89', Marquis J. (Pen),

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shrewsbury won 2.

Shrewsbury is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lincoln is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Lincoln is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Shrewsbury won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10:15 (average 0.8:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Shrewsbury won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:9 (average 1.1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shrewsbury Town
English League One
21.12.24	Wigan Athletic - Shrewsbury Town	2:2 ✺
14.12.24	Shrewsbury Town - Wycombe Wanderers	1:4 ✺
07.12.24	Cambridge United - Shrewsbury Town	4:1 ✺
04.12.24	Shrewsbury Town - Blackpool	1:2 ✺
23.11.24	Shrewsbury Town - Birmingham City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 TLLLW
- Lincoln City
English League One
21.12.24	Lincoln City - Reading	2:0 ✺
14.12.24	Huddersfield Town - Lincoln City	2:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.12.24	Morecambe - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
English League One
07.12.24	Lincoln City - Charlton Athletic	0:0 ✺
03.12.24	Rotherham United - Lincoln City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
27.02.24	Lincoln City - Shrewsbury Town	3:0
19.08.23	Shrewsbury Town - Lincoln City	0:1
07.05.23	Lincoln City - Shrewsbury Town	1:0
03.12.22	Shrewsbury Town - Lincoln City	2:0
26.03.22	Shrewsbury Town - Lincoln City	1:0
30.10.21	Lincoln City - Shrewsbury Town	1:1
English League Cup
10.08.21	Shrewsbury Town - Lincoln City	3:2 penalties

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