Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 32

Date: 10 February 2024, Saturday

Location: LNER stadium (Lincoln)

Referee: Middleton D. (Eng)


	Lincoln City		Fleetwood Town

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.75
	2	3.3	3.7
	2.05	3.3	3.75	Watch
	2	3.25	3.69
	2.08	3.36	3.91
	1.91	3.4	3.75
	2.02	3.4	3.83	Watch
	1.95	3.35	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.85)	3.35 ↓ (3.46)	3.75 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lincoln City
46.8%

Draw
28.1%

Fleetwood Town
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

27.1%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

26.3%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lincoln City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Lincoln City - Fleetwood Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jensen L. (G) 2. Sorensen L. 15. O'Connor P. (C) 5. Jackson A. 23. Roughan S. 24. McGrandles C. 10. Bishop T. 6. Erhahon E. 7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 9. Taylor J. 18. House B.	13. Lynch J. (G) 4. Wiredu B. (C) 16. Heneghan B. 6. Campbell E. 11. Broom R. 5. Lawal B. 8. Kilkenny G. 2. Johnston C. 20. Omochere P. 9. Stockley J. 33. Coughlan R.
Substitutes
17. Duffy D. 22. Eyoma T. 27. Makama J. 14. Mandroiu D. 28. Moylan J. 12. Wright J. (G)	19. Graydon R. 18. Holgate H. 14. Lonergan T. 30. McMullan S. (G) 44. Patterson P. 15. Quitirna J. 12. Samuels I.
Coaches
Skubala M.	Adam C.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lincoln won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Fleetwood could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lincoln will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Lincoln won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Lincoln won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lincoln City
English League One
03.02.24	Burton Albion - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
27.01.24	Lincoln City - Peterborough United	0:0 ✺
20.01.24	Lincoln City - Derby County	0:0 ✺
13.01.24	Wycombe Wanderers - Lincoln City	1:1 ✺
01.01.24	Blackpool - Lincoln City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WTTTL
- Fleetwood Town
English League One
06.02.24	Bristol Rovers - Fleetwood Town	0:2 ✺
03.02.24	Fleetwood Town - Port Vale	3:0 ✺
27.01.24	Wycombe Wanderers - Fleetwood Town	2:2 ✺
20.01.24	Fleetwood Town - Portsmouth	0:1 ✺
13.01.24	Cambridge United - Fleetwood Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
21.10.23	Fleetwood Town - Lincoln City	0:1
25.03.23	Fleetwood Town - Lincoln City	2:1
27.08.22	Lincoln City - Fleetwood Town	2:2
05.04.22	Fleetwood Town - Lincoln City	1:1
14.08.21	Lincoln City - Fleetwood Town	2:1
02.03.21	Lincoln City - Fleetwood Town	1:2
17.10.20	Fleetwood Town - Lincoln City	0:0

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