Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 29

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Highbury Stadium (Fleetwood)

Referee: Hair N. (Eng)


	Fleetwood Town		Portsmouth

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.8	1.67
	4.75	3.75	1.68
	4.75	3.75	1.72	Watch
	4.12	3.81	1.84
	5.11	4.07	1.68
	4.6	3.8	1.65
	4.71	3.94	1.71	Watch
	4.8	3.8	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.76 ↑ (4.39)	3.84 ↑ (3.72)	1.7 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fleetwood Town
19.9%

Draw
24.6%

Portsmouth
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

25.5%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

24.9%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.7%	3.2%	87.1%

Fleetwood Town - Portsmouth Predictions

Users Predictions: Portsmouth will win (27 of 31 users predict this - 87.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.3% – 98.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Lynch J. (G) 4. Wiredu B. 16. Heneghan B. 32. Earl J. 8. Vela J. (C) 5. Lawal B. 22. Dolan C. 3. Boyes H. 14. Marriott J. 10. Mayor D. 9. Stockley J.	1. Norris W. (G) 18. Shaughnessy C. 20. Raggett S. 4. Towler R. 25. Kamara A. 7. Pack M. (C) 16. Morrell J. 32. Lane P. 26. Lowery T. 24. Devlin T. 9. Bishop C.
Substitutes
33. Coughlan R. 18. Holgate H. 2. Johnston C. 30. McMullan S. (G) 20. Omochere P. 44. Patterson P. 26. Rooney S.	13. Macey M. (G) 29. Martin J. 6. Ogilvie C. 15. Saydee C. 10. Scully A. 21. Sparkes J. 11. Whyte G.
Coaches
Adam C.	Mousinho J.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fleetwood won 0.

Fleetwood has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Portsmouth is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Portsmouth is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Fleetwood won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 17-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Fleetwood won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fleetwood Town
English League One
13.01.24	Cambridge United - Fleetwood Town	2:1 ✺
06.01.24	Fleetwood Town - Derby County	1:3 ✺
01.01.24	Shrewsbury Town - Fleetwood Town	3:1 ✺
29.12.23	Fleetwood Town - Bolton Wanderers	0:2 ✺
26.12.23	Fleetwood Town - Carlisle United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT
- Portsmouth FC
English League One
13.01.24	Portsmouth - Leyton Orient	0:3 ✺
06.01.24	Cheltenham Town - Portsmouth	2:1 ✺
01.01.24	Portsmouth - Stevenage Borough	2:1 ✺
29.12.23	Exeter City - Portsmouth	0:0 ✺
26.12.23	Bristol Rovers - Portsmouth	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
23.12.23	Portsmouth - Fleetwood Town	1:1
24.01.23	Fleetwood Town - Portsmouth	0:2
08.10.22	Portsmouth - Fleetwood Town	1:1
26.02.22	Portsmouth - Fleetwood Town	3:3
07.08.21	Fleetwood Town - Portsmouth	0:1
16.01.21	Fleetwood Town - Portsmouth	0:1
15.12.20	Portsmouth - Fleetwood Town	0:0

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