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Current Win Probability
Lincoln City 58.1%
Draw 22.3%
Manchester City U21 19.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.4%
24.7%
25.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.2%
25.6%
25%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lincoln City's performance.
Manchester City U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manchester City U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lincoln City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City U21 than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manchester City U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Lincoln City - Manchester City U21 Predictions
Users Predictions:
Lincoln City will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Pardington J. (G) 17. Duffy D. 2. Darikwa T. 26. Gallagher O. 16. Jefferies D. 28. Moylan J. (C) 10. McKiernan J. J. 29. Street R. 34. Draper F. 36. Okoro Z. 9. Cadamarteri B.
69. Hudson M. (G) 89. Henderson-Hall M. 95. Samuel L. 66. Simpson-Pusey J. 97. Wilson-Esbrand J. 81. Heskey J. 75. O'Reilly N. (C) 57. Okeke M. 85. Alfa-Ruprecht F. 65. Dickson W. 99. Lawrence E.
Substitutes
11. Hamilton E. 18. House B. 27. Makama J. 14. McGrandles C. 15. O'Connor P. 23. Roughan S. 1. Wickens G. (G)
59. Gray C. 92. Grigg F. (G) 63. Mubama D. 54. Naylor S. 48. Nfonkeu B. 77. Oboavwoduo J.
Coaches
Skubala M.
Wilkinson B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Draper F. ⚽, McKiernan J. J. (A),
28', Alfa-Ruprecht F. 🟨,
41', 2 - 0, Cadamarteri B. ⚽, Moylan J. (A),
45+3', Moylan J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Draper F. ↓, Makama J. ↑,
46', Duffy D. ↓, Roughan S. ↑,
46', Simpson-Pusey J. ↓, Gray C. ↑,
49', 3 - 0, Street R. ⚽, Roughan S. (A),
56', Moylan J. ↓, Hamilton E. ↑,
60', 4 - 0, Okoro Z. ⚽, Roughan S. (A),
64', Street R. ↓, House B. ↑,
65', 5 - 0, McKiernan J. J. ⚽, Jefferies D. (A),
67', Alfa-Ruprecht F. ↓, Naylor S. ↑,
67', Lawrence E. ↓, Oboavwoduo J. ↑,
73', Cadamarteri B. ↓, McGrandles C. ↑,
86', Henderson-Hall M. ↓, Mubama D. ↑,
88', Dickson W. ↓, Nfonkeu B. ↑,
89', House B. 🟨,
Preview
Lincoln is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Man City U21 in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Lincoln could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Lincoln is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Lincoln won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
Including matches at home between the teams Lincoln won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
Watch
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Pardington J. (G) 
Duffy D. 
Darikwa T. 
Jefferies D. 
McKiernan J. J. 
Okeke M. 
Alfa-Ruprecht F. 
Lawrence E. 
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