Match Info

FA Cup - 1/128-finals

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Peninsula Stadium (Salford)


	Salford City		Lincoln City

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.6	2.2
	2.98	3.7	2.28
	6.55	3.46	1.58	Watch
	2.9	3.59	2.25	Watch
	2.95	3.5	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↓ (4.04)	3.57 ↑ (3.4)	2.12 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salford City
26.7%

Draw
27.3%

Lincoln City
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

26.8%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

26%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lincoln City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Salford City - Lincoln City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Howard M. (G) 6. Turton O. 22. Oluwo A. 15. Cooper B. 19. Mnoga H. 8. Grant J. 18. Butcher M. 21. Cesay K. 45. Longelo-Mbule R. 9. Stockton C. 10. N'Mai K. (C)	1. Wickens G. (G) 2. Darikwa T. (C) 5. Jackson A. 6. Towler R. 3. Reach A. 14. McGrandles C. 24. Varfolomeev I. 12. Ring E. 34. Draper F. 18. House B. 9. Collins J.
Substitutes
17. Austerfield J. 16. Borini F. 34. Butt R. 47. Caroll R. 29. Garbutt L. 14. Harris K. 23. Udoh D. 7. Woodburn B. 1. Young M. (G)	8. Bayliss T. 15. Bradley S. 23. Lembikisa D. 4. Montsma L. 20. Obikwu J. 19. Okoronkwo F. 21. Pardington J. (G) 17. Street R. 11. Thorn O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Stockton C. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Ring E. ⚽, Darikwa T. (A),
33', Reach A. 🟨,
37', House B. ↓, Street R. ↑,
39', Cesay K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Cesay K. ↓, Austerfield J. ↑,
53', Longelo-Mbule R. ↓, Harris K. ↑,
53', Grant J. ↓, Borini F. ↑,
53', Stockton C. ↓, Udoh D. ↑,
60', Butcher M. 🟨,
66', Jackson A. ↓, Bradley S. ↑,
66', Ring E. ↓, Montsma L. ↑,
72', Borini F. 🟨,
77', Draper F. ↓, Obikwu J. ↑,
77', Collins J. ↓, Bayliss T. ↑,
79', Towler R. 🟨,
86', Turton O. ↓, Woodburn B. ↑,
90+1', Wickens G. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 1, N'Mai K. ⚽,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
99', Mnoga H. ↓, Garbutt L. ↑,
110', Darikwa T. 🟨,
112', Varfolomeev I. ↓, Okoronkwo F. ↑,
116', Darikwa T. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 2)
1, Street R. (Pen),
1, Borini F. (Pen),
2, Bayliss T. (Pen),
2, Garbutt L. (Pen),
3, Obikwu J. (Pen),
3, Woodburn B. (Pen),
4, McGrandles C. (Pen),
4, Udoh D. (Pen),

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Lincoln may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Lincoln is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Salford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Including home match between the teams, Salford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salford City
English League Two
25.10.25	Gillingham - Salford City	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Salford City - Oldham Athletic	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Chesterfield - Salford City	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.10.25	Salford City - Stockport County	3:1 ✺
English League Two
04.10.25	Salford City - Grimsby Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWLWL
- Lincoln City
English League One
28.10.25	Bradford City - Lincoln City	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Leyton Orient - Lincoln City	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Lincoln City - Stevenage Borough	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Lincoln City - Exeter City	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
30.09.25	Lincoln City - Manchester United U21	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
31.07.21	Salford City - Lincoln City	0:2

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