Match Info

League One - Round 42

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: LNER stadium (Lincoln)

Referee: Parkinson S. (Eng)


	Lincoln City		Shrewsbury Town

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.7	6.25	Watch
	1.5	4	6.75
	1.57	3.75	6.5	Watch
	1.57	3.71	6.36	Watch
	1.53	3.8	7.5
	1.58	3.73	6.3	Watch
	1.57	3.75	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.49)	3.78 ↓ (4.09)	6.59 ↓ (6.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lincoln City
60.7%

Draw
25%

Shrewsbury Town
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

22.9%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

21.9%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Shrewsbury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lincoln City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Lincoln City - Shrewsbury Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Lincoln City will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lincoln City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wickens G. (G) 2. Darikwa T. 4. Montsma L. 5. Jackson A. (C) 23. Roughan S. 14. McGrandles C. 8. Bayliss T. 12. Ring E. 7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 32. Gardner J. 25. Collins J.	31. Blackman J. (G) 5. Feeney M. 6. Feeney J. 16. Pierre A. 2. Hoole L. 14. Perry T. 17. Gilliead A. 15. Gape D. 23. Nurse G. 9. Lloyd G. 27. Marquis J. (C)
Substitutes
34. Draper F. 6. Erhahon E. 22. Hamer T. 11. Hamilton E. 18. House B. 31. Jeacock Z. (G) 36. Okoro Z.	3. Benning M. 18. Dinanga R. 22. Nsiala A. 24. Stewart C. 7. Wheeler D. 13. Young J. (G)
Coaches
Skubala M.	Appleton M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Bayliss T. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Pierre A. ⚽, Lloyd G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Ring E. ↓, House B. ↑,
68', McGrandles C. ↓, Erhahon E. ↑,
68', Gardner J. ↓, Okoro Z. ↑,
77', Perry T. ↓, Wheeler D. ↑,
78', Nurse G. ↓, Benning M. ↑,
81', Collins J. ↓, Hamer T. ↑,
81', Montsma L. ↓, Draper F. ↑,
85', Gape D. 🟨,
90+1', Hoole L. ↓, Nsiala A. ↑,
90+1', Lloyd G. ↓, Stewart C. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lincoln won 3.

Recent matches Lincoln is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Shrewsbury has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Shrewsbury could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lincoln is certain favorite.

There will not play in Lincoln: Cadamarteri B. (Injury) Moylan J. (Injury)

There will not play in Shrewsbury: Castledine L. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Lincoln: Erhahon E. (Inactive) Makama J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Shrewsbury: Oliver V. (Injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Lincoln won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15:11 (average 1.1:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Lincoln won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:2 (average 1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lincoln City
English League One
05.04.25	Charlton Athletic - Lincoln City	2:2 ✺
01.04.25	Lincoln City - Huddersfield Town	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Lincoln City	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Lincoln City - Exeter City	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Lincoln City - Bristol Rovers	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWLTW
- Shrewsbury Town
English League One
08.04.25	Shrewsbury Town - Reading	1:3 ✺
05.04.25	Shrewsbury Town - Cambridge United	0:1 ✺
01.04.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Shrewsbury Town	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Birmingham City - Shrewsbury Town	4:1 ✺
15.03.25	Shrewsbury Town - Burton Albion	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
26.12.24	Shrewsbury Town - Lincoln City	1:0
27.02.24	Lincoln City - Shrewsbury Town	3:0
19.08.23	Shrewsbury Town - Lincoln City	0:1
07.05.23	Lincoln City - Shrewsbury Town	1:0
03.12.22	Shrewsbury Town - Lincoln City	2:0
26.03.22	Shrewsbury Town - Lincoln City	1:0
30.10.21	Lincoln City - Shrewsbury Town	1:1

Upcoming Matches