Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 37

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: LNER stadium (Lincoln)

Referee: Howard P. (Eng)


	Lincoln City		Bristol Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.1	6	Watch
	1.57	3.9	5.5
	1.55	4	6	Watch
	1.54	4.13	6.21
	1.54	3.97	6.05	Watch
	1.57	4	6
	1.55	4.15	6	Watch
	1.55	4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.49)	4.03 ↓ (4.09)	5.97 ↓ (6.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lincoln City
60.8%

Draw
23.4%

Bristol Rovers
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

22.7%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

21.3%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Bristol Rovers aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Lincoln City - Bristol Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wickens G. (G) 2. Darikwa T. 22. Hamer T. 15. O'Connor P. (C) 23. Roughan S. 8. Bayliss T. 14. McGrandles C. 27. Makama J. 7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 16. Jefferies D. 25. Collins J.	31. Ward J. (G) 5. Wilson J. 17. Taylor C. 25. Swinkels S. 32. Hunt J. 26. Butcher M. 4. Moore T. 6. Mola C. 37. Shaw K. 10. Sotiriou R. 7. Sinclair S. (C)
Substitutes
17. Clucas S. 32. Gardner J. 11. Hamilton E. 18. House B. 5. Jackson A. 31. Jeacock Z. (G) 12. Ring E.	43. Dewsbury O. 28. Forde S. 35. Hall M. (G) 19. Hutchinson I. 2. Senior J. 3. Sousa L. 11. Thomas L.
Coaches
Skubala M.	Calderon I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Makama J. ⚽, O'Connor P. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Mola C. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
49', 2 - 0, Bayliss T. ⚽,
52', 3 - 0, Collins J. ⚽, Makama J. (A),
57', Sotiriou R. ↓, Dewsbury O. ↑,
58', Moore T. ↓, Hutchinson I. ↑,
65', 4 - 0, Makama J. ⚽,
66', Swinkels S. ↓, Sousa L. ↑,
68', Collins J. ↓, House B. ↑,
69', Jefferies D. ↓, Ring E. ↑,
71', Bayliss T. ↓, Hamilton E. ↑,
71', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Gardner J. ↑,
81', 5 - 0, Makama J. ⚽,
82', Makama J. ↓, Clucas S. ↑,
82', Shaw K. ↓, Senior J. ↑,
83', Wilson J. 🟨,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lincoln won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Bristol Rovers could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lincoln is a favorite.

There will not play in Lincoln: Walker T. (Inactive)

There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Conteh K. (Knee Injury) Sawyers R. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Lincoln: Erhahon E. (Inactive) Montsma L. (Inactive) Moylan J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: O'Donkor G. (Hamstring Injury) Omochere P. (Injury) Ward G. (Inactive)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Lincoln won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18:13 (average 1.8:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Lincoln won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lincoln City
English League One
08.03.25	Birmingham City - Lincoln City	1:0 ✺
04.03.25	Lincoln City - Crawley Town	4:1 ✺
01.03.25	Barnsley - Lincoln City	4:3 ✺
22.02.25	Lincoln City - Burton Albion	0:1 ✺
18.02.25	Mansfield Town - Lincoln City	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLLW
- Bristol Rovers
English League One
11.03.25	Bristol Rovers - Bolton Wanderers	3:2 ✺
08.03.25	Bristol Rovers - Huddersfield Town	1:0 ✺
04.03.25	Shrewsbury Town - Bristol Rovers	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Bristol Rovers - Rotherham United	2:3 ✺
22.02.25	Northampton Town - Bristol Rovers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
09.11.24	Bristol Rovers - Lincoln City	1:1
16.03.24	Lincoln City - Bristol Rovers	5:0
02.09.23	Bristol Rovers - Lincoln City	1:1
11.02.23	Lincoln City - Bristol Rovers	1:0
17.09.22	Bristol Rovers - Lincoln City	3:6
17.04.21	Bristol Rovers - Lincoln City	0:1
10.10.20	Lincoln City - Bristol Rovers	1:2

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