The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lincoln City 57.8%
Draw 23.9%
Exeter City 18.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.9%
26.3%
21.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.3%
25.6%
21.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lincoln City's performance.
Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
95.5%
4.5%
0%
Lincoln City - Exeter City Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Lincoln (2.05) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lincoln City will win
(21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%). Confidence interval (95%): 86.74% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lincoln City will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Lincoln (votes: 7 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wickens G. (G) 2. Darikwa T. (C) 5. Jackson A. 15. Bradley S. 3. Reach A. 17. Street R. 24. Varfolomeev I. 8. Bayliss T. 18. House B. 34. Draper F. 9. Collins J.
1. Whitworth J. (G) 26. Sweeney P. (C) 5. Fitzwater J. 15. Yfeko J. 14. Niskanen I. 2. McMillan J. 6. Brierley E. 21. Andrew D. 12. Cole R. 9. Wareham J. 27. Magennis J.
Substitutes
7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 22. Hamer T. 13. Jeacock Z. (G) 20. Obikwu J. 19. Okoronkwo F. 12. Ring E. 6. Towler R.
10. Aitchison J. 23. Bycroft J. (G) 17. Higgins A. 29. McDonald K. 4. Turns E. 37. Wilson K. 20. Woodhouse L.
Coaches
Skubala M.
Caldwell G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Whitworth J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Yfeko J. ↓, Higgins A. ↑,
68', Collins J. ↓, Hackett-Fairchild R. ↑,
78', Darikwa T. ↓, Hamer T. ↑,
78', Street R. ↓, Obikwu J. ↑,
82', Wareham J. ↓, McDonald K. ↑,
82', Cole R. ↓, Aitchison J. ↑,
87', House B. ↓, Ring E. ↑,
89', Andrew D. ↓, Turns E. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 1, McDonald K. ⚽,
90+11', Brierley E. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 18).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 1.
Lincoln is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Exeter has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Exeter may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Lincoln is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Lincoln: Jefferies D.
(Hip Injury)
Moylan J.
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Exeter: Borges P.
(Knee Injury)
Mendes C.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Exeter: Aitchison J.
(Ankle Injury)
Cox S.
(Inactive)
McDonald K.
(Injury)
Rydel R.
(Injury)
We predict that Lincoln will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).
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Wickens G. (G) 
Darikwa T. (C) 
Varfolomeev I. 
House B. 
Collins J. 
Niskanen I. 
Magennis J. 
Hackett-Fairchild R. 
Obikwu J. 
Ring E. 
Turns E. 
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