Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Round 11

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Windsor Park (Belfast)

Referee: Hassan D. (Nir)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Nifl TV


	Linfield		Bangor

	1	X	2
	1.24	5.75	9.75
	1.24	5.35	8.80
	1.27	5.74	10.80
	1.23	5.8	9.6	Watch
	1.25	5.65	10.00
	1.28	5.35	10.20
	1.25	5.40	8.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↑ (1.23)	5.58 ↓ (5.8)	9.68 ↓ (9.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linfield
73.9%

Draw
16.6%

Bangor
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.8%

15.9%

9.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Bangor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Linfield - Bangor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johns Ch. (G) 26. Baird I. 19. Brennan R. 10. Frizzell A. 15. Hall B. 8. McClean K. 34. McCullough D. 27. McGee E. 30. Moore K. 14. Nelson K. 5. Shields C.	1. Deane G. (G) 9. Arthurs B. 4. Francis L. 6. Harrison L. 7. Hassin L. 29. Hughes I. 5. Lynch H. 12. McCullough S. 2. McGuinness C. 8. Mulvenna T. 3. Neale R.
Substitutes
24. Brown S. 66. Chapman C. 29. Fitzpatrick M. 18. Glavin A. (G) 22. Mulgrew J. 4. Nolan R. 16. Wells D.	21. Boyd J. 18. Devlin O. 28. McGuinness S. 20. McRoberts L. 16. Mitchell A. 13. Solis Grogan P. (G) 23. Strachan M.
Coaches
Healy D.	Feeney L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', McGuinness C. ↓, Mitchell A. ↑,
34', Harrison L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Deane G. ↓, Solis Grogan P. ↑,
54', Lynch H. 🟥,
57', 1 - 0, Moore K. ⚽,
57', Nelson K. ↓, Fitzpatrick M. ↑,
63', Harrison L. ↓, Devlin O. ↑,
64', McCullough S. 🟨,
65', 2 - 0, Shields C. (Penalty Awarded),
66', Frizzell A. ↓, Wells D. ↑,
79', Arthurs B. ↓, Boyd J. ↑,
79', Mulvenna T. ↓, McRoberts L. ↑,
81', Shields C. ↓, Brown S. ↑,
81', McGee E. ↓, Mulgrew J. ↑,
90', Boyd J. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 11th in the NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Linfield won 5.

Linfield arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Bangor has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Linfield could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Linfield holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Linfield has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 19:4 (averaging 2.7:0.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Linfield against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 7:1 goals (averaging 3.5:0.5 per game).

Outrights of Northern Irish Premiership for now

Linfield: 26.09% Bangor FC: 0.85%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Linfield	10	8	1	1	14:6	8	25
12	Bangor FC	11	1	2	8	10:24	-14	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Linfield FC
Northern Irish Premiership
25.09.26	Coleraine - Linfield	1:3 ✺
19.09.26	Linfield - Crusaders	1:0 ✺
15.09.26	Portadown - Linfield	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Dungannon Swifts - Linfield	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Linfield - Carrick Rangers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWTWW
- Bangor FC
Northern Irish Premiership
04.10.26	Bangor - Coleraine	2:3 ✺
26.09.26	Crusaders - Bangor	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Bangor - Portadown	3:1 ✺
15.09.26	Limavady United - Bangor	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Glentoran - Bangor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Cup
10.01.26	Linfield - Bangor	1:0
Northern Irish Premiership
03.01.26	Linfield - Bangor	6:1
22.11.25	Bangor - Linfield	0:1
26.09.25	Bangor - Linfield	0:3
Club Friendly
13.07.24	Bangor - Linfield	1:4
29.07.23	Bangor - Linfield	2:1
14.07.18	Bangor - Linfield	0:3

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