Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 24 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Belvedere (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Disney+


	Liverpool Montevideo		Central Español

	1	X	2
	1.83	3	4.1	Watch
	1.83	3.3	4
	1.85	3.2	4.15
	1.93	3.35	4.44
	1.82	3.41	4.55	Watch
	1.91	3.1	4
	1.88	3.15	4.53	Watch
	1.76	3.2	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.76)	3.21 ↑ (3.2)	4.21 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liverpool Montevideo
49.6%

Draw
28.6%

Central Español
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

27.5%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

25.8%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liverpool Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Central Español has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Español than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	8.3%	0%

Liverpool Montevideo - Central Español Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Liverpool Montevideo will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Campana M. (G) 4. Perdomo F. 23. Castillo E. 3. Strasorier S. 27. Romero D. 20. Rabunal M. (C) 17. de Mello G. 24. Amaro K. 22. Zabala D. 7. Martinez F. 31. Barcelo F.	39. Rodolfo (G) 17. Fernandez L. 2. Rodriguez I. 14. Villoldo A. (C) 3. Dupont J. 24. Gandolfo G. 4. Montiel M. 7. Munoz F. 30. Alonso M. 8. Camarda F. 9. Tarragona R.
Substitutes
16. Acosta L. 32. Barrenechea F. 11. Bentancourt R. 1. Bernatene M. (G) 18. Cayetano A. 10. Degregorio R. M. 5. Garayalde N. 15. Laquidain S. 34. Lewis K. 9. Machado R.	11. Aguilera M. 22. Aramburu E. 15. Cantera M. 26. Cesar Nunes 1. Marquez E. (G) 16. Mendez I. 25. Milan F. 10. Muniz R. 23. Navarro S. 21. Pino L.
Coaches
Speranza C.	de Ambrosio P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Strasorier S. (Own goal),
5', 1 - 1, Martinez F. ⚽,
44', 2 - 1, Martinez F. ⚽,
45+4', 2 - 2, Rodriguez I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 2 - 3, Alonso M. ⚽,
58', Rabunal M. ↓, Garayalde N. ↑,
58', Martinez F. ↓, Barrenechea F. ↑,
58', Perdomo F. ↓, Degregorio R. M. ↑,
59', Strasorier S. 🟨,
60', 3 - 3, Barcelo F. ⚽,
64', Dupont J. ↓, Cesar Nunes ↑,
64', Munoz F. ↓, Muniz R. ↑,
69', de Mello G. 🟨,
70', Zabala D. 🟨,
77', de Mello G. ↓, Cayetano A. ↑,
77', Alonso M. ↓, Aguilera M. ↑,
77', Fernandez L. ↓, Navarro S. ↑,
85', Zabala D. ↓, Machado R. ↑,
86', Cesar Nunes 🟨,
89', Tarragona R. ↓, Milan F. ↑,
90', Montiel M. 🟨,
90+1', Barcelo F. 🟨,
90+5', Rodriguez I. 🟨,

Preview

Liverpool has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Central Español's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Liverpool is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Liverpool won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liverpool Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
21.03.26	Racing Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	1:0 ✺
16.03.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	0:0 ✺
09.03.26	Boston River - Liverpool Montevideo	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Cerro Largo	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
24.02.26	Independiente Medellín - Liverpool Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTWWT
- Central Español
Uruguayan Primera Division
21.03.26	Montevideo City Torque - Central Español	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Central Español - Cerro Largo	1:3 ✺
08.03.26	Defensor Sporting - Central Español	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Central Español - Montevideo Wanderers	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Central Español	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguay Copa
31.08.22	Central Español - Liverpool Montevideo	1:2
Uruguayan Primera Division
06.04.13	Liverpool Montevideo - Central Español	1:1
14.10.12	Central Español - Liverpool Montevideo	0:2

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