Match Info

Date: 3 October 2020, Saturday


	Liverpool Montevideo		Nacional

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.75	1.66	Watch
	4.1	4	1.65	Watch
	4.5	3.8	1.6
	4.2	3.5	1.67
	4.82	4	1.72
	4.8	3.5	1.67
	4.75	3.74	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.48 ↓ (4.6)	3.76 ↑ (3.68)	1.67 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liverpool Montevideo
20.5%

Draw
24.4%

Nacional
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.8%

24.8%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.3%

20.4%

67.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liverpool Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nacional could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Liverpool Montevideo - Nacional Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent matches Liverpool is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nacional is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Liverpool could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nacional is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Liverpool won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Liverpool won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liverpool Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
13.09.20	River Plate Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	1:2 ✺
10.09.20	Liverpool Montevideo - Danubio	2:1 ✺
05.09.20	Peñarol de Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	3:2 ✺
30.08.20	Liverpool Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	1:2 ✺
27.08.20	Montevideo Wanderers - Liverpool Montevideo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLLL
- Atletico Nacional
Copa Libertadores
30.09.20	Nacional - Racing	1:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
27.09.20	Farense - Nacional	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
22.09.20	Estudiantes de Mérida - Nacional	1:3 ✺
Liga Portugal
19.09.20	Nacional - Boavista	3:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
17.09.20	Racing - Nacional	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Super Cup
01.02.20	Nacional - Liverpool Montevideo	2:4 ET
Uruguayan Primera Division
15.09.19	Nacional - Liverpool Montevideo	4:1
16.02.19	Liverpool Montevideo - Nacional	1:1

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