Match Info

SCOTLAND: Championship - Round 28

Date: 5 March 2025, Wednesday

Location: Tony Macaroni Arena (Livingston)

Referee: Scott C. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Livingston		Raith Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.8	5.5	Watch
	1.65	3.5	4.5
	1.6	3.7	5.8	Watch
	1.59	3.65	6.45
	1.59	3.6	6.28	Watch
	1.6	3.5	6
	1.55	3.66	6.1	Watch
	1.6	3.7	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.83)	3.64 ↑ (3.39)	5.8 ↑ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livingston
58.4%

Draw
25.6%

Raith Rovers
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

27.1%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

25.5%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livingston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Livingston's performance.

Raith Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Raith Rovers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raith Rovers than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Raith Rovers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	4.4%	6.7%

Livingston - Raith Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: Livingston will win (40 of 42 users predict this - 95.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.8% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Prior J. (G) 12. Brandon J. (C) 5. McGowan R. 27. Wilson D. 11. Fraser R. 8. Pittman S. 25. Tait M. 10. Kelly S. 23. Muirhead R. 17. May S. 26. Montano C.	63. Rae J. (G) 22. Doherty J. 4. Hanlon P. 5. Fordyce C. 6. Murray E. 8. Matthews R. 20. Brown S. (C) 26. Stevenson L. 19. Pollock F. 23. Easton D. 32. Gullan J.
Substitutes
3. Clarke M. 19. Finlayson D. 14. Hamilton J. (G) 6. McAlear R. 21. Nottingham M. 22. Shinnie A. 15. Smith L. 20. Ubochioma M. 9. Yengi T.	21. Byrne S. 7. Connolly A. 1. Dabrowski M. (G) 3. Dick L. 17. Gibson L. 37. Marsh A. 25. Montagu K. 14. Mullin J. 10. Vaughan L.
Coaches
Martindale D.	Robson B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Brown S. ↓, Mullin J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', May S. ↓, Yengi T. ↑,
57', Fraser R. ↓, Smith L. ↑,
62', Gullan J. 🟨,
67', Brandon J. ↓, Finlayson D. ↑,
68', Stevenson L. ↓, Dick L. ↑,
80', Pollock F. ↓, Vaughan L. ↑,
80', Murray E. ↓, Gibson L. ↑,
82', Pittman S. ↓, McAlear R. ↑,
90+1', Tait M. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Livingston won 4.

Livingston is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Raith is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Livingston is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Livingston to win the game is with odds 1.69.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Livingston won 12 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 35:22 (average 1.8:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Livingston won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 20:11 (average 1.7:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Livingston FC
Scottish Football Championship
28.02.25	Partick Thistle - Livingston	1:1 ✺
25.02.25	Livingston - Greenock Morton	3:2 ✺
22.02.25	Ayr United - Livingston	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	Livingston - Dunfermline Athletic	0:0 ✺
Scottish Cup
08.02.25	Livingston - Cove Rangers	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWWTW
- Raith Rovers
Scottish Football Championship
01.03.25	Raith Rovers - Queens Park	0:4 ✺
25.02.25	Airdrieonians - Raith Rovers	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Raith Rovers - Hamilton Academical	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Raith Rovers - Partick Thistle	3:0 ✺
Scottish Cup
08.02.25	Celtic - Raith Rovers	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
28.12.24	Raith Rovers - Livingston	2:1
26.10.24	Livingston - Raith Rovers	2:1
31.08.24	Raith Rovers - Livingston	0:1
Scottish Cup
20.01.24	Livingston - Raith Rovers	2:1
Scottish League Cup
21.07.21	Livingston - Raith Rovers	1:0 penalties
Scottish Cup
03.04.21	Livingston - Raith Rovers	2:1 ET
18.01.20	Livingston - Raith Rovers	3:1

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