Match Info

Championship - Round 5

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: The Home of the Set Fare Arena (Livingston)

Referee: Wilkie J. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Scotland	BBC Scotland
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, Livingston TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Livingston		Stenhousemuir

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.2	5.5
	1.41	4.20	6.00
	1.43	4.3	6.1	Watch
	1.46	4.35	7.54
	1.44	4.31	7.18	Watch
	1.44	4.1	7.45
	1.52	4.48	5.87	Watch
	1.44	4.5	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.29)	4.31 ↓ (5.1)	6.48 ↓ (9.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livingston
64.2%

Draw
21.5%

Stenhousemuir
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.2%

18.3%

9.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livingston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Livingston's form might have worsened.

Stenhousemuir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Livingston - Stenhousemuir Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Livingston will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Stenhousemuir (1.65) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Stenhousemuir (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Prior J. (G) 22. Doherty J. 5. McGowan R. (C) 23. Kabongolo B. 4. Wilkie J. 16. Palmer C. 20. Danso E. 36. Culbert S. 9. Muirhead R. 25. Anderson B. 19. van Hoeven B.	1. Jamieson D. (G) 24. Grant L. 5. Young S. 19. Bright S. 2. Meechan R. (C) 17. Anderson M. 8. Robson F. 14. Bilham K. 21. Hodgkiss L. 10. Shinnie A. 11. O'Donnell L.
Substitutes
27. Carey G. 3. Fati B. 14. Hamilton J. (G) 21. Iseni B. 2. Kerr C. 17. May S. 8. Pittman S. 39. Polworth L. 7. Sinclair T.	9. Aitken M. 4. Buchanan G. 39. Gillies M. 34. Hemfrey R. (G) . Kargbo U. 37. MacIntyre O. 7. O'Reilly E. 28. Penman C. 20. Stevenson G.
Coaches
Whelan G.	Bartley M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Shinnie A. ⚽, Anderson M. (A),
38', Danso E. 🟨,
42', Culbert S. 🟨,
44', Young S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Muirhead R. 🟨,
54', 🟨,
56', Culbert S. ↓, Sinclair T. ↑,
56', Palmer C. ↓, Polworth L. ↑,
65', Hodgkiss L. ↓, O'Reilly E. ↑,
65', O'Donnell L. ↓, Stevenson G. ↑,
77', Robson F. ↓, MacIntyre O. ↑,
77', Bilham K. ↓, Gillies M. ↑,
77', van Hoeven B. ↓, Fati B. ↑,
82', Shinnie A. ↓, Scally S. ↑,
84', Danso E. ↓, May S. ↑,
90+1', Polworth L. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Livingston won 4.

Recent performances by Livingston have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Stenhousemuir is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Livingston is the obvious favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Livingston won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:3. (average 2.5:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Livingston won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now

Livingston: 22.81% Stenhousemuir: 21.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Stenhousemuir	8	7	1	0	12:2	10	22
4	Livingston	9	4	1	4	13:9	4	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Livingston FC
Scottish Football Championship
29.08.26	Arbroath - Livingston	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Livingston - Dunfermline Athletic	2:0 ✺
07.08.26	Partick Thistle - Livingston	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Livingston - Queens Park	2:0 ✺
Scottish League Cup
25.07.26	Stenhousemuir - Livingston	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLWL
- Stenhousemuir
Scottish Football Championship
29.08.26	Stenhousemuir - Inverness	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Queens Park - Stenhousemuir	0:2 ✺
Scottish League Cup
16.08.26	Stenhousemuir - Motherwell	1:0 AET ✺
Scottish Football Championship
08.08.26	Stenhousemuir - Greenock Morton	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Raith Rovers - Stenhousemuir	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 39.8 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
25.07.26	Stenhousemuir - Livingston	1:0 penalties
Scottish Cup
21.01.23	Stenhousemuir - Livingston	1:3
Scottish League Cup
10.11.20	Stenhousemuir - Livingston	0:4
Scottish League One
15.04.17	Stenhousemuir - Livingston	0:1
21.03.17	Livingston - Stenhousemuir	1:0
13.12.16	Stenhousemuir - Livingston	0:4
20.08.16	Livingston - Stenhousemuir	4:1

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