Match Info

FA Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday

Location: Stebonheath Park (Llanelli)


	Llanelli		Barry Town United

	1	X	2
	4.05	3.45	1.72
	25.00	12.40	1.03	Watch
	4.06	3.86	1.74
	3.8	3.2	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.23 ↑ (4.87)	5.73 ↑ (3.8)	1.57 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llanelli
11.8%

Draw
19%

Barry Town United
69.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

24.5%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

23.6%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llanelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Llanelli's form might have worsened.

Barry Town United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barry Town United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llanelli than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Llanelli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barry Town United than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barry Town United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Llanelli - Barry Town United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
1', 0 - 1, Hulbert O. ⚽,
19', 0 - 2, Richards E. ⚽,
34', 0 - 3, Davies K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', 0 - 4, Owen I. ⚽,
70', 0 - 5, Hulbert O. (Pen),
86', 0 - 6, Barton D. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Llanelli won 0.

Llanelli has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Barry Town is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Llanelli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Barry Town has had a series of away games.

In this match, Barry Town is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Llanelli won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:20. (average 0.8:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Llanelli won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llanelli
Welsh Cymru Premier
15.11.25	Llanelli - Caernarfon Town	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Colwyn Bay - Llanelli	3:1 ✺
31.10.25	Bala Town - Llanelli	1:0 ✺
24.10.25	Llanelli - The New Saints	0:4 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
17.10.25	Llanelli - Haverfordwest County	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TLLLW
- Barry Town United
Welsh Cymru Premier
08.11.25	Barry Town United - Flint Town United	0:0 ✺
Welsh League Cup
04.11.25	Haverfordwest County - Barry Town United	0:2 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
01.11.25	Colwyn Bay - Barry Town United	1:4 ✺
25.10.25	Bala Town - Barry Town United	0:0 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
18.10.25	Aberystwyth Town - Barry Town United	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh League Cup
10.09.25	Barry Town United - Llanelli	1:0
Welsh Cymru Premier
08.08.25	Llanelli - Barry Town United	0:2
Welsh League Cup
02.08.24	Barry Town United - Llanelli	2:1 penalties
Welsh Cymru South
28.01.23	Llanelli - Barry Town United	1:1
21.10.22	Barry Town United - Llanelli	3:1
Welsh League Cup
07.08.21	Barry Town United - Llanelli	5:0
Welsh Cymru Premier
19.10.18	Barry Town United - Llanelli	5:2

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