Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 22

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday


	Llanera		Bergantiños

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.87	3
	2.28	2.9	3.15
	2.36	2.92	3.31
	2.29	2.89	3.28	Watch
	2.34	2.88	3.26
	2.28	2.9	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.54)	2.89 ↑ (2.83)	3.19 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llanera
39.8%

Draw
31.6%

Bergantiños
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

32.2%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

31.8%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llanera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Bergantiños has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llanera than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Llanera - Bergantiños Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Sonha T. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out).

Recent matches Llanera is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bergantiños has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bergantiños could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Llanera will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Llanera won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Llanera won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Llanera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
02.02.25	Coruxo - Llanera	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Llanera - Real Avilés	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Guijuelo - Llanera	0:1 ✺
12.01.25	Llanera - Rayo Cantabria	4:3 ✺
21.12.24	Llanera - Escobedo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LTWWL
- Bergantiños FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
02.02.25	Numancia - Bergantiños	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Bergantiños - Coruxo	0:1 ✺
19.01.25	Real Avilés - Bergantiños	3:0 ✺
12.01.25	Bergantiños - Guijuelo	2:3 ✺
22.12.24	Bergantiños - Rayo Cantabria	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
29.09.24	Bergantiños - Llanera	2:2
03.04.22	Llanera - Bergantiños	2:0
14.11.21	Bergantiños - Llanera	1:2

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