The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lokomotiv Moscow 44.4%
Draw 29.4%
Ufa 26.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.7%
27%
23.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.6%
18.3%
34.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lokomotiv Moscow's form might have worsened.
Ufa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lokomotiv Moscow that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ufa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lokomotiv Moscow - Ufa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).
Lokomotiv has the most likely position - 7 (14.22%), has project points - 42, has currently - 25, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Ufa has the most likely position - 15 (17.94%), has project points - 30, has currently - 16, has a chance of relegated (50%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Lokomotiv has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Ufa is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Ufa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Ufa have a series of guest games.
Lokomotiv will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 21 head-to-head matches Lokomotiv won 8 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Lokomotiv won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-7.
Watch
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