Match Info

Date: 25 November 2021, Thursday


	Lokomotiv Moscow		Lazio

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.8	1.65
	5.25	3.8	1.66
	5.1	3.7	1.74
	5	3.75	1.65
	5.42	3.87	1.7
	5.25	3.7	1.67
	5.65	4.15	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.31 ↑ (4.15)	3.82 ↑ (3.45)	1.68 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Moscow
18%

Draw
25%

Lazio
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

27.5%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

18%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Lazio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lazio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokomotiv Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (-24.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lazio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.1%	11.4%	80.5%

Lokomotiv Moscow - Lazio Predictions

Users Predictions: Lazio will win (99 of 123 users predict this - 80.49%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.49% – 87.49%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Lokomotiv has a very small chance of round of 16 (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%), has currently - 2, has not chance of 1st, has a very small chance of 2nd (2%), has a small chance of 3rd (12%).

Lazio has a good chance of round of 16 (54%), has a chance of qtrs (24%), has a small chance of semis (10%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (2%), has currently - 5, has a chance of 1st (37%), has a chance of 2nd (43%), has a chance of 3rd (19%).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Lazio is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lokomotiv won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Moscow
Russian Premier League
20.11.21	Lokomotiv Moscow - Akhmat Grozny	1:2 ✺
07.11.21	Spartak Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
04.11.21	Galatasaray - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
30.10.21	Nizhny Novgorod - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:2 ✺
25.10.21	Lokomotiv Moscow - Sochi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTTWW
- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
20.11.21	Lazio - Juventus	0:2 ✺
07.11.21	Lazio - Salernitana	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
04.11.21	Olympique Marseille - Lazio	2:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
30.10.21	Atalanta - Lazio	2:2 ✺
27.10.21	Lazio - Fiorentina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
30.09.21	Lazio - Lokomotiv Moscow	2:0

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