What is the expert prediction for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo?

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Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Tuesday, April 21, 2026)

Match Info

HNL - Round 31

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadion Maksimir (Zagreb)

Referee: Vukancic I. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1


	Lokomotiva Zagreb		Slaven Belupo

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	3.5
				Watch
	1.95	3.35	3.65
	1.93	3.35	4.4
	1.95	3.4	3.88	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.7
	1.93	3.3	4.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.21)	3.33 ↑ (3.33)	3.92 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiva Zagreb
48.4%

Draw
27.9%

Slaven Belupo
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

27.7%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

25%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiva Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lokomotiva Zagreb's performance.

Slaven Belupo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Slaven Belupo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiva Zagreb than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lokomotiva Zagreb that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slaven Belupo than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Slaven Belupo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	7.1%	7.1%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: Lokomotiva Zagreb will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Posavec J. (G) 23. Vesovic M. 5. Jukic T. 16. Dajcer L. 17. Pajac M. 6. Boskovic B. 10. Subotic M. (C) 11. Susak M. 29. Vasilj J. 28. Belcar L. 9. Sabra I.	31. Hadzikic O. (G) 5. Katalinic Z. 2. Medjimorec V. (C) 4. Kovacic D. 18. Kruselj F. 21. Crepulja L. 17. Mazar F. 20. Petrovic M. 15. Cubelic I. 23. Lepinjica I. 7. Dabro M.
Substitutes
33. Kamenovic D. 3. Kostelac P. 2. Kralevski T. 14. Lorber M. 32. Savatovic L. (G) 25. Smiljanic P. 15. Stojakovic A. 7. Trajkovski A. 30. Vukovic D.	29. Ascic M. 24. Bosnjak L. 9. Bozic I. 32. Covic I. (G) 16. Curkovic L. 8. Geci L. 22. Jovic F. 1. Kolar T. (G) 99. Kutlesa F. 19. Qestaj E. 14. Ratshukudu L. 26. Sivalec G.
Coaches
Jelavic N.	Gregurina M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Crepulja L. (Penalty Awarded),
34', 1 - 1, Susak M. ⚽, Pajac M. (A),
36', Susak M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lepinjica I. ↓, Bosnjak L. ↑,
57', Sabra I. ↓, Stojakovic A. ↑,
72', Susak M. ↓, Vukovic D. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Boskovic B. ⚽, Vesovic M. (A),
85', Dabro M. ↓, Bozic I. ↑,
88', Kovacic D. ↓, Ascic M. ↑,
90+2', Subotic M. ↓, Lorber M. ↑,
90+2', Vasilj J. ↓, Smiljanic P. ↑,
90+2', Belcar L. ↓, Kralevski T. ↑,

Preview

Neutral location.

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiva won 2.

Lokomotiva has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Slaven Belupo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Lokomotiva will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Lokomotiva: Katic I. (Shoulder Injury) Leovac M. (Injury) Sigali L. (Injury)

There will not play in Slaven Belupo: Caimacov M. (Hip Injury) Grgic A. (Injury) Jakir A. (Injury) Mitrovic J. (Yellow Cards) Nestorovski I. (Inactive) Zuta L. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Slaven Belupo: Isasegi K. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiva won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:26. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiva won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).

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Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Lok. Zagreb	36	10	14	12	40:52	-12	44
7	Slaven Belupo	36	10	11	15	46:61	-15	41

Last Results with these Odds

Lokomotiva Zagreb - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.62%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Croatian HNL
17.04.26	Gorica - Lokomotiva Zagreb	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Istra 1961	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Vukovar 91 - Lokomotiva Zagreb	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Dinamo Zagreb	0:5 ✺
15.03.26	Hajduk Split - Lokomotiva Zagreb	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWTLL
- NK Slaven Belupo
Croatian HNL
17.04.26	Slaven Belupo - Hajduk Split	2:2 ✺
12.04.26	Varaždin - Slaven Belupo	2:1 ✺
Croatian Cup
08.04.26	Rijeka - Slaven Belupo	2:0 ✺
Croatian HNL
04.04.26	Slaven Belupo - Rijeka	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Slaven Belupo - Osijek	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Cup
10.03.26	Slaven Belupo - Lokomotiva Zagreb	2:1 penalties
Croatian HNL
13.02.26	Slaven Belupo - Lokomotiva Zagreb	2:0
Club Friendly
16.01.26	Slaven Belupo - Lokomotiva Zagreb	2:4
Croatian HNL
08.11.25	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Slaven Belupo	1:1
23.08.25	Slaven Belupo - Lokomotiva Zagreb	1:2
18.04.25	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Slaven Belupo	0:2
09.02.25	Slaven Belupo - Lokomotiva Zagreb	2:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Slaven Belupo
Club Friendly
21.07.26	Slaven Belupo - Shakhtar Donetsk	✺

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Lokomotiva Zagreb - Slaven Belupo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide