Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 6

Date: 24 September 2024, Tuesday

Location: Nouste Camp (Pau)

Referee: Petit A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6


	Pau		Lorient

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.8	1.95	Watch
	3.3	3.6	2
	3.3	3.75	2
	3.4	3.95	2.02
	3.31	3.93	2.03	Watch
	3.3	3.7	2
	3.39	3.82	2.02	Watch
	3.3	3.75	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↓ (3.81)	3.79 ↑ (3.63)	2 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pau
28.2%

Draw
24.8%

Lorient
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

25.8%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

25.2%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	27.3%	54.5%

Pau - Lorient Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Pau will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Lorient will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lorient: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Jeannin M. (G) 2. Koudou T. 22. Ahoussou A. 25. Ruiz J. (C) 12. Gaspar J. 21. Beusnard S. 6. Ngom O. 7. Arconte T. 14. Bobichon A. 9. Mboup P. 18. Diawara K.	38. Mvogo Y. (G) 32. Adjei N. 24. Kalulu G. 3. Talbi M. 44. Yongwa D. 93. Mvuka Mugisha J. 21. Ponceau J. 6. Abergel L. 62. Ebong A. 9. Bamba M. 27. Tosin A.
Substitutes
10. Boutaib K. 33. Kalulu J. 19. Kante 4. Kouassi L.X. 17. Mille A. 8. Mohamed I. 77. Paradowski T. (G)	60. Genton E. 99. Hatchi J. 66. James I. 77. Katseris P. 22. Kroupi E. J. 1. Leroy B. (G) 5. Mendy F. 28. Soumano S.
Coaches
Usai N.	Pantaloni O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', Koudou T. ↓, Kalulu J. ↑,
33', Kalulu G. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Mboup P. ⚽,
40', Talbi M. 🟥,
45+1', Gaspar J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ebong A. ↓, Mendy F. ↑,
70', Tosin A. ↓, Kroupi E. J. ↑,
70', Mvuka Mugisha J. ↓, Katseris P. ↑,
70', Gaspar J. ↓, Boutaib K. ↑,
70', Ponceau J. ↓, Soumano S. ↑,
71', Ngom O. ↓, Mohamed I. ↑,
79', Abergel L. ↓, Genton E. ↑,
83', Arconte T. ↓, Kouassi L.X. ↑,
83', Beusnard S. ↓, Mille A. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches Pau is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lorient is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pau could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lorient will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
20.09.24	Dunkerque - Pau	3:2 ✺
13.09.24	Pau - Martigues	3:0 ✺
30.08.24	Grenoble - Pau	1:1 ✺
23.08.24	Pau - Caen	1:0 ✺
16.08.24	Clermont - Pau	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWTWT
- FC Lorient
French Ligue 2
21.09.24	Metz - Lorient	1:1 ✺
13.09.24	Lorient - Red Star	2:1 ✺
31.08.24	Amiens - Lorient	1:0 ✺
24.08.24	Lorient - Grenoble	2:0 ✺
19.08.24	Martigues - Lorient	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWLWW

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