Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 20

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade du Moustoir (Lorient)

Referee: Legat P. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Free


	Lorient		Clermont

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.9	5.25	Watch
	1.65	3.8	5
	1.63	4	5
	1.64	3.94	5.51
	1.62	3.9	5.24	Watch
	1.67	3.75	5
	1.7	3.96	5.13	Watch
	1.63	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.62)	3.91 ↓ (4.06)	5.14 ↑ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lorient
57.4%

Draw
24.2%

Clermont
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

23.1%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

23.9%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Clermont aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45%	25%	30%

Lorient - Clermont Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Lorient will win (votes: 9 - 45%). Clermont will win (votes: 6 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lorient: 23.2% – 66.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Mvogo Y. (G) 2. Igor Silva 15. Laporte J. (C) 3. Talbi M. 44. Yongwa D. 62. Avom A. 17. Makengo J. 93. Mvuka Mugisha J. 21. Ponceau J. 10. Pagis P. 22. Kroupi E. J.	1. N'Diaye M. (G) 15. Konate C. O. 12. Da Silva D. 97. Jacquet J. 31. Diallo B. 25. Gastien J. (C) 7. Magnin Y. 70. Diaby Y. 6. Keita H. 11. Douane M. 26. Bassouamina M.
Substitutes
75. Fadiga B. 60. Genton E. 24. Kalulu G. 77. Katseris P. 11. Le Bris T. 1. Leroy B. (G) 28. Soumano S.	22. Armougom Y. 77. Baaloudj M. 32. Bamba K. 37. Diagouraga T. 30. Guivarch T. (G) 28. M'Bahia I. 20. Mwimba J.
Coaches
Pantaloni O.	Batlles L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Jacquet J. ⚽, Keita H. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Laporte J. ⚽,
28', Gastien J. 🟨,
28', N'Diaye M. 🟨,
30', 2 - 1, Kroupi E. J. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 3 - 1, Pagis P. ⚽, Makengo J. (A),
71', Mvuka Mugisha J. ↓, Katseris P. ↑,
72', Igor Silva ↓, Kalulu G. ↑,
72', Kroupi E. J. ↓, Soumano S. ↑,
72', Diaby Y. ↓, Bamba K. ↑,
73', Diallo B. ↓, Armougom Y. ↑,
82', Pagis P. ↓, Le Bris T. ↑,
86', Douane M. ↓, Baaloudj M. ↑,
86', Konate C. O. ↓, M'Bahia I. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 2, Bassouamina M. ⚽, Bamba K. (A),
90+9', Makengo J. ↓, Genton E. ↑,
90+10', Jacquet J. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lorient won 2.

Lorient is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Clermont is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Clermont could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Lorient have a series of guest games.

In this match Lorient is a favorite.

There will not play in Lorient: Bamba M. (Injury)

There will not play in Clermont: Ackra A. (Injury) Diedhiou F. (Injury) Inchaud M. (Broken ankle) Saivet H. (Leg Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Lorient won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17:9 (average 1.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Lorient won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:4 (average 1.5:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lorient
French Ligue 2
18.01.25	Dunkerque - Lorient	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
15.01.25	Cannes - Lorient	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
11.01.25	Lorient - Metz	0:0 ✺
04.01.25	Laval - Lorient	2:0 ✺
Coupe De France
21.12.24	Tours - Lorient	Lorient walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLTL?
- Clermont Foot
French Ligue 2
18.01.25	Clermont - Laval	1:1 ✺
10.01.25	Martigues - Clermont	0:1 ✺
03.01.25	Caen - Clermont	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
22.12.24	Sochaux - Clermont	1:0 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
13.12.24	Clermont - Rodez	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
01.11.24	Clermont - Lorient	2:1
French Ligue 1
19.05.24	Lorient - Clermont	5:0
12.11.23	Clermont - Lorient	1:0
27.05.23	Clermont - Lorient	2:0
28.08.22	Lorient - Clermont	2:1
13.03.22	Clermont - Lorient	0:2
03.10.21	Lorient - Clermont	1:1

Upcoming Matches