Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 10

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stade du Moustoir (Lorient)

Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Lorient		Paris Saint-Germain

	1	X	2
	11	7	1.22	Watch
	12.5	6.9	1.21
	7.22	5.3	1.38
	7.22	5.05	1.39	Watch
	12.3	6.67	1.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.05 ↑ (7.6)	6.18 ↑ (5.03)	1.3 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorient
9.6%

Draw
15.7%

Paris Saint-Germain
74.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.6%

19%

68.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.1%

18.2%

71.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paris Saint-Germain's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.4%	9.8%	87.8%

Lorient - Paris Saint Germain Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Paris Saint-Germain will win (36 of 40 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 99.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paris Saint-Germain will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Mvogo Y. (G) 2. Igor Silva 3. Talbi M. 44. Yongwa D. 93. Mvuka Mugisha J. 8. Cadiou N. 6. Abergel L. (C) 43. Kouassi A. 29. Karim D. 10. Pagis P. 9. Bamba M.	30. Chevalier L. (G) 5. Marquinhos (C) 6. Zabarnyi I. 4. Beraldo L. 25. Mendes N. 33. Zaire-Emery W. 24. Mayulu S. 47. Ndjantou Q. 14. Doue D. 10. Dembele O. 49. Mbaye I.
Substitutes
32. Adjei N. 62. Avom A. 34. Bley M. 21. Kamara B. (G) 11. Le Bris T. 17. Makengo J. 5. Meite B. 28. Soumano S. 15. Tosin A.	29. Barcola B. 21. Hernandez L. 7. Kvaratskhelia K. 89. Marin R. (G) 87. Neves J. 51. Pacho W. 9. Ramos G. 39. Safonov M. (G) 17. Vitinha
Coaches
Pantaloni O.	Luis Enrique

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Mbaye I. ↓, Neves J. ↑,
46', Ndjantou Q. ↓, Vitinha ↑,
49', 0 - 1, Mendes N. ⚽,
51', 1 - 1, Igor Silva ⚽,
62', Dembele O. ↓, Kvaratskhelia K. ↑,
63', Doue D. ↓, Barcola B. ↑,
68', Zabarnyi I. 🟨,
68', Pagis P. ↓, Makengo J. ↑,
69', Bamba M. ↓, Tosin A. ↑,
69', Karim D. ↓, Avom A. ↑,
77', Mvuka Mugisha J. ↓, Le Bris T. ↑,
77', Zaire-Emery W. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
90+2', Cadiou N. ↓, Soumano S. ↑,
90+5', Barcola B. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 1.

Lorient has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

PSG is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

PSG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, PSG has had a series of away games.

In this match, PSG is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Lorient: Faye A. (Foot Injury) Toure I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in PSG: Hakimi A. (Rest)

There are questionable in Lorient: Fadiga B. (Ankle Injury) Katseris P. (Thigh Injury) Sanusi T. (Lacking Match Fitness)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 18:46. (average 0.9:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lorient won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 10:21. (average 0.9:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lorient
French Ligue 1
26.10.25	Angers - Lorient	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Lorient - Brest	3:3 ✺
03.10.25	Paris FC - Lorient	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Lorient - Monaco	3:1 ✺
21.09.25	Le Havre - Lorient	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LTLWT
- Paris Saint-Germain
French Ligue 1
25.10.25	Brest - Paris Saint-Germain	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.10.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Paris Saint-Germain	2:7 ✺
French Ligue 1
17.10.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Strasbourg	3:3 ✺
05.10.25	Lille - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
01.10.25	Barcelona - Paris Saint-Germain	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
24.04.24	Lorient - Paris Saint-Germain	1:4
12.08.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Lorient	0:0
30.04.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Lorient	1:3
06.11.22	Lorient - Paris Saint-Germain	1:2
03.04.22	Paris Saint-Germain - Lorient	5:1
22.12.21	Lorient - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1
31.01.21	Lorient - Paris Saint-Germain	3:2

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