Match Info

Leagues Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Dignity Health Sports Park (Carson, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	Amazon Prime Video
China	ZhiBo8
Italy	Amazon Prime Video
Usa	MLS Season Pass


	Los Angeles Galaxy		Pachuca

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.6	2.5	Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.4
	2.58	3.5	2.52
	2.69	3.68	2.56
	2.75	3.53	2.46	Watch
	2.76	3.53	2.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (2.7)	3.54 ↑ (3.48)	2.47 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Los Angeles Galaxy
35.4%

Draw
26.5%

Pachuca
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

27%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

27.4%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Angeles Galaxy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

The chances for Pachuca have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	35.7%	57.1%

Los Angeles Galaxy - Pachuca Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. LA Galaxy will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Pachuca will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pachuca: 35% – 88%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - LA Galaxy (1.94) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pachuca will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. LA Galaxy (votes: 1 - 20%). Pachuca (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Micovic N. (G) 19. Cuevas M. 25. Garces C. 5. Zanka 3. Aude J. 18. Reus M. (C) 6. Cerrillo E. 7. Fagundez D. 11. Gabriel Pec 9. Matheus Nascimento 28. Paintsil J.	25. Moreno C. (G) 24. Rodriguez L. 4. Eduardo Bauermann 2. Barreto S. D. 3. Aceves A. 28. Montiel E. 5. Pedraza P. 18. Dominguez A. 8. Guzman V. 11. Idrissi O. 99. Cadiz J.
Substitutes
27. Berry M. 21. Lepley T. 12. Marcinkowski J. (G) 77. McCarthy J. (G) 26. Miller H. 14. Nelson J. 16. Parente I. 17. Ramirez C. 8. Sanabria L. 22. Wynder E. 2. Yamane M. 15. Zavaleta E.	16. Alemao 26. Bautista A. 13. Berlanga J. 41. Carvalho W. 31. Eulogio J. (G) 12. Garcia Caprizo B. A. 9. Hernandez I. 29. Kenedy 19. Lopez J. 23. Quinones L. 181. Shrem D. (G) 32. Togni G.
Coaches
Vanney G.	Lozano J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', Pedraza P. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Aceves A. (Own goal),
28', Cerrillo E. 🟨,
37', 2 - 0, Reus M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Pedraza P. ↓, Bautista A. ↑,
46', Cerrillo E. ↓, Parente I. ↑,
55', Micovic N. 🟨,
58', Cuevas M. 🟨,
61', Rodriguez L. 🟨,
62', Idrissi O. ↓, Kenedy ↑,
62', Dominguez A. ↓, Quinones L. ↑,
63', Matheus Nascimento ↓, Sanabria L. ↑,
67', Cadiz J. ↓, Alemao ↑,
67', Rodriguez L. ↓, Garcia Caprizo B. A. ↑,
73', Aude J. ↓, Nelson J. ↑,
90+2', Reus M. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
90+2', Garces C. ↓, Zavaleta E. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 1, Alemao ⚽,
90+8', Alemao 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Pachuca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, LA Galaxy has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Los Angeles Galaxy
MLS
16.08.25	Inter Miami - Los Angeles Galaxy	3:1 ✺
10.08.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - Seattle Sounders	0:4 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
07.08.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - Santos Laguna	4:0 ✺
03.08.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - Cruz Azul	1:2 penalties ✺
31.07.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - Tijuana	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWLW
- CF Pachuca
Mexican Liga MX
16.08.25	Pachuca - Tijuana	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	Atlas - Pachuca	0:3 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
05.08.25	Houston Dynamo - Pachuca	1:2 ✺
01.08.25	Los Angeles - Pachuca	2:1 penalties ✺
29.07.25	Pachuca - San Diego	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWLW

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