Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Miguel Hidalgo (Pachuca de Soto)

Referee: Camacho Peregrina J. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	FOX One, FOX Sports
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Pachuca		Tijuana

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.70	5.50	Watch
	1.65	3.75	5.00
	1.72	3.65	4.30	Watch
	1.71	3.93	5.05
	1.73	3.9	4.58	Watch
	1.69	3.85	5.00
	1.71	3.74	5.29	Watch
	1.68	3.70	4.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.84)	3.78 ↑ (3.75)	4.95 ↑ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pachuca
55.9%

Draw
25%

Tijuana
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

25.2%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

24.8%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pachuca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Pachuca - Tijuana Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Pachuca will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tijuana will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pachuca (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Moreno C. (C) 14. Sanchez C. 4. Eduardo Bauermann 2. Barreto S. D. 15. Venegas F. 30. Rodriguez S. 16. Rivera C. 26. Bautista A. 7. Pizarro R. 11. Idrissi O. 23. Rondon S.	2. Rodriguez A. (C) 6. Gomez A. 12. Porozo J. 4. Bilbao U. 16. Vega A. 8. Tona I. 17. Arciga R. 20. Zapata A. 10. Mora G. 7. Preciado A. 9. El Ghezouani M.
Substitutes
9. Alcaraz A. 187. Alvarez G. 32. Budib P. 206. Contreras T. A. 31. Eulogio J. (G) 211. Hernandez C. 6. Isais M. 221. Martinez U. 12. Santos S. 21. Vallejo N.	19. Abreu D. 34. Boya F. 11. Gonzalez F. 202. Gonzalez J. 29. Hernandez J. (G) 188. Magallon A. 33. Ortiz Orozco P. N. 31. Padilla Y. 26. Perez A. 15. Rivero I.
Coaches
Mora B.	Abreu S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Mora G. (Penalty Awarded),
33', Idrissi O. 🟨,
33', Tona I. 🟨,
42', 0 - 2, Gomez A. ⚽, Vega A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Pizarro R. ↓, Alcaraz A. ↑,
46', Bautista A. ↓, Isais M. ↑,
46', Idrissi O. ↓, Vallejo N. ↑,
55', 1 - 2, Rondon S. ⚽, Vallejo N. (A),
63', Mora G. ↓, Rivero I. ↑,
63', Arciga R. ↓, Padilla Y. ↑,
68', Venegas F. ↓, Alvarez G. ↑,
71', Zapata A. ↓, Boya F. ↑,
74', Padilla Y. 🟨,
80', Sanchez C. ↓, Santos S. ↑,
84', El Ghezouani M. ↓, Abreu D. ↑,
84', Vega A. ↓, Ortiz Orozco P. N. ↑,
90', 2 - 2, Rondon S. ⚽, Barreto S. D. (A),
90+2', Mora B. 🟥,
90+3', Abreu D. 🟨,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12th and 10th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Bookmakers give the edge to Pachuca for this game.

Confirmed absences for Pachuca: Dominguez A. (Foot Injury).

Confirmed absences for Tijuana: Boya F. (Injury) Fernandez R. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Pachuca: Micolta A. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Tijuana: Elias Manoel (Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Pachuca has recorded 11 wins, 1 draw, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 43:27 (averaging 2.2:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Pachuca against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 31:9 goals (averaging 2.8:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Club Tijuana	10	4	3	3	15:14	1	15
12	Pachuca	10	3	3	4	15:11	4	12

Last Results with these Odds

Pachuca - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 51.35%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Pachuca
Mexican Liga MX
11.09.26	Atlante - Pachuca	0:3 ✺
04.09.26	Juárez - Pachuca	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Pachuca - Chivas Guadalajara	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Atlético San Luis - Pachuca	1:1 ✺
17.08.26	Pachuca - Puebla	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWTTL
- Club Tijuana
Mexican Liga MX
11.09.26	Tijuana - Querétaro	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Tijuana - UNAM	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana	5:2 ✺
16.08.26	Tijuana - Cruz Azul	2:1 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
13.08.26	Portland Timbers - Tijuana	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
22.04.26	Tijuana - Pachuca	3:1
16.08.25	Pachuca - Tijuana	0:2
16.03.25	Pachuca - Tijuana	4:1
04.10.24	Tijuana - Pachuca	2:1
03.02.24	Pachuca - Tijuana	3:2
10.11.23	Tijuana - Pachuca	2:3
26.02.23	Tijuana - Pachuca	2:0

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