Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal Los Chankas (Andahuaylas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
Usa	Fanatiz


	Los Chankas		Atlético Grau

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	4.5	Watch
	1.8	3.35	4.55	Watch
	1.8	3.42	4.86
	1.71	3.6	4.94	Watch
	1.75	3.2	4.6
	1.77	3.4	4.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.54)	3.4 ↓ (3.85)	4.69 ↓ (6.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Los Chankas
52.8%

Draw
27.4%

Atlético Grau
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

24.5%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

23.7%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Chankas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Los Chankas's form might have worsened.

Atlético Grau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Grau's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Los Chankas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Grau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	0%	6.2%

Los Chankas - Atlético Grau Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Los Chankas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Los Chankas (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Los Chankas will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Los Chankas (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Camacho H. (G) 18. Takeuchi O. (C) 24. Rizzo G. 33. Pimienta C. 26. Gonzales D. 31. Quintana A. 8. Quiroz A. 5. Palomino J. 15. Sanchez K. 11. Quintero J. 10. Torres F.	1. Alvarez P. (C) 4. Rodriguez D. 2. Acevedo L. 3. Tapia I. 27. Tapia R. 19. Camargo I. 5. Guarderas R. 29. Franco E. 6. Rodas E. 66. de la Cruz A. 9. Ruidiaz R.
Substitutes
6. Ayarza A. 27. Barrios K. 14. Guevara B. 30. Kaufman M. 7. Ospina J. 89. Posito J. 12. Pretel L. (G) 20. Torres M. 17. Velarde C.	16. Ataupillco J. 7. Barreto D. 33. Calderon A. (G) 21. Correa E. 10. de la Cruz P. 11. Delgadillo N. 22. Neira C. 24. Ruidiaz Y. 32. Torres S.
Coaches
Paolella W.	Ameli G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Rizzo G. ⚽, Quintana A. (A),
42', 2 - 0, Pimienta C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rodriguez D. ↓, Neira C. ↑,
46', Camargo I. ↓, de la Cruz P. ↑,
54', Pimienta C. 🟨,
62', Camacho H. 🟨,
64', Ruidiaz R. (Penalty Awarded),
64', Franco E. ↓, Delgadillo N. ↑,
71', Quintero J. ↓, Torres M. ↑,
74', Sanchez K. 🟨,
85', Quiroz A. ↓, Ayarza A. ↑,
85', Rizzo G. ↓, Kaufman M. ↑,
85', Tapia R. ↓, Torres S. ↑,
85', de la Cruz A. ↓, Ruidiaz Y. ↑,
89', Rodas E. 🟨,
90+2', Torres F. ↓, Barrios K. ↑,
90+2', Sanchez K. ↓, Velarde C. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: ) and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Los Chankas won 2.

Los Chankas is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Grau has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Los Chankas is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Los Chankas: Saravia F. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Los Chankas: Gonzalez H. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Grau: Camargo I. (Injury)

We predict that Los Chankas will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Los Chankas won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Los Chankas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Grau	11	5	2	4	14:13	1	17
15	Los Chankas	11	2	3	6	11:24	-13	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Los Chankas
Peruvian Liga 1
06.04.26	Cajamarca - Los Chankas	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Los Chankas - Sporting Cristal	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Juan Pablo II College - Los Chankas	2:3 ✺
08.03.26	Los Chankas - Universitario de Deportes	3:1 ✺
27.02.26	FBC Melgar - Los Chankas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 44.2 WWWWW
- Atlético Grau
Peruvian Liga 1
03.04.26	Alianza Atlético - Atlético Grau	2:2 ✺
22.03.26	Atlético Grau - Deportivo Garcilaso	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	FBC Melgar - Atlético Grau	0:0 ✺
06.03.26	Atlético Grau - Cajamarca	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Atlético Grau	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
10.08.25	Los Chankas - Atlético Grau	3:2
10.03.25	Atlético Grau - Los Chankas	2:1
21.08.24	Atlético Grau - Los Chankas	1:1
15.03.24	Los Chankas - Atlético Grau	0:1
Peruvian Liga 2
16.09.21	Los Chankas - Atlético Grau	3:1
16.07.21	Atlético Grau - Los Chankas	0:0
21.09.19	Atlético Grau - Los Chankas	6:0

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