Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Segra Field (Leesburg, VA)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Loudoun United		Charlotte Independence

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.66	3.75	4
	1.48	4.2	5.88
				Watch
	1.54	4.1	5.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.7)	4.02 ↑ (3.79)	5.09 ↑ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Loudoun United
59%

Draw
22.9%

Charlotte Independence
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

24%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

25.1%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Loudoun United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Loudoun United's performance.

Charlotte Independence has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Loudoun United - Charlotte Independence Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Loudoun (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Fauroux H. (G) 3. Tingey K. 5. Leerman Y. 16. Turner C. 6. Awuah K. 31. Karamoko H. 12. Skundrich D. (C) 4. McCabe T. 11. Aboukoura A. 14. Ryan Z. 10. Valot F.	28. Levy M. (G) 17. Dimick C. (C) 4. Spielman N. 5. Romero J. 2. Ngah F. 11. Ndiaye B. 6. Ciss O. 15. Jauregui R. 9. Bakero J. 8. Moreno J. 99. Chaney C.
Substitutes
15. Bidois R. 22. Dambrot R. 21. Garay J. 88. Hurge A. 30. Jack R. (G) 7. Leggett W. 20. Mines B. 13. Nagy A. 35. Pendleton E.	10. Gray N. 80. Jaime C. 26. Marou S. 16. Mbuyu T. 3. Ousmanou P. 77. Pedro Fonseca 12. Romig A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Ngah F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', 1 - 0, Aboukoura A. ⚽,
64', Skundrich D. ↓, Dambrot R. ↑,
64', Karamoko H. ↓, Mines B. ↑,
67', Moreno J. ↓, Marou S. ↑,
73', Ryan Z. ↓, Leggett W. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Marou S. ⚽,
77', Bakero J. ↓, Jaime C. ↑,
77', Jauregui R. ↓, Pedro Fonseca ↑,
90+2', Chaney C. 🟨,
90+3', Leggett W. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Pedro Fonseca (Pen),
1, Tingey K. (Pen),
2, Spielman N. (Pen),
2, Aboukoura A. (Pen),
3, Ngah F. (Pen),
3, Mines B. (Pen),
4, Chaney C. (Pen),
4, Turner C. (Pen),
5, Marou S. (Pen),
5, Leerman Y. (Pen),
6, Fauroux H. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 0.

Loudoun has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Charlotte Ind is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Charlotte Ind may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Loudoun has had a series of home games.

In this match, Loudoun is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 1.2:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Loudoun won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Loudoun United
USL Championship
25.06.25	Loudoun United - Louisville City	1:4 ✺
20.06.25	Hartford Athletic - Loudoun United	3:0 ✺
14.06.25	Loudoun United - Detroit City	3:2 ✺
07.06.25	Loudoun United - Charleston Battery	1:1 ✺
USL Cup
31.05.25	Loudoun United - Louisville City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLWTW
- Charlotte Independence
USL League One
21.06.25	Texoma - Charlotte Independence	3:2 ✺
15.06.25	Charlotte Independence - Greenville Triumph	1:0 ✺
11.06.25	Spokane Velocity - Charlotte Independence	1:1 ✺
07.06.25	South Georgia Tormenta - Charlotte Independence	0:2 ✺
USL Cup
31.05.25	Charlotte Independence - Lexington	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
27.10.21	Charlotte Independence - Loudoun United	1:0
03.10.21	Charlotte Independence - Loudoun United	5:1
08.09.21	Loudoun United - Charlotte Independence	0:5
06.08.21	Loudoun United - Charlotte Independence	0:0
09.08.19	Loudoun United - Charlotte Independence	3:3
11.05.19	Charlotte Independence - Loudoun United	1:3

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