Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 31 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Segra Field (Leesburg, VA)

Referee: Scheer J. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	Loudoun United		Phoenix Rising

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	3.25	3.1
	2.15	3.4	3.1
	2.16	3.35	3.19
	2.17	3.37	3.26	Watch
	2.11	3.38	3.24	Watch
	2.15	3.4	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.2)	3.36 ↑ (3.25)	3.17 (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

Watch this match and USL Championship with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: IND (WDVM - Washington, DC)

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Current Win Probability

Loudoun United
43.4%

Draw
27.5%

Phoenix Rising
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

28.6%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

27.8%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Loudoun United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Loudoun United aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Loudoun United - Phoenix Rising Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Fauroux H. (G) 5. Leerman Y. 24. Erlandson J. 6. Awuah K. 3. Tingey K. 8. Valot F. 4. McCabe T. 40. Turner G. 7. Leggett W. 14. Ryan Z. (C) 10. Elmedkhar K.	1. Rios R. (G) 27. Wyke L. 4. Mar Boye P. 30. Fuenmayor A. 12. Dennis C. 6. Doratiotto G. 26. Zambrano R. (C) 14. Cuello E. 72. Rito E. 9. Angel T. 71. Margaritha J.
Substitutes
22. Dambrot R. 17. Francois C. 2. Hughes K. 1. Jacomen D. (G) 44. Johnston I. 13. Nagy A. 18. Wane P. 9. Williamson T.	77. Azocar J. 29. Formella D. 8. Hernandez J. 38. Johnson D. 22. Rakovsky P. (G) 17. Scearce J. 16. Torres G.
Coaches
Martin R.	Gomez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Leerman Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', Rito E. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
68', Doratiotto G. ↓, Formella D. ↑,
68', Turner G. ↓, Wane P. ↑,
68', Elmedkhar K. ↓, Johnston I. ↑,
70', Cuello E. 🟨,
74', Ryan Z. 🟨,
79', Leggett W. ↓, Nagy A. ↑,
80', Fuenmayor A. 🟨,
84', Dennis C. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
84', Cuello E. ↓, Torres G. ↑,
85', 0 - 1, Margaritha J. ⚽, Hernandez J. (A),
87', Margaritha J. ↓, Scearce J. ↑,
90+4', Wane P. 🟨,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Loudoun could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Loudoun will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Loudoun won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Loudoun won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Loudoun United
USL Championship
24.08.24	Loudoun United - Rhode Island	0:0 ✺
17.08.24	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Loudoun United	0:2 ✺
10.08.24	Oakland Roots - Loudoun United	3:1 ✺
03.08.24	Loudoun United - Miami	4:1 ✺
27.07.24	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Loudoun United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 TWLWT
- Phoenix Rising
USL Championship
24.08.24	Phoenix Rising - North Carolina	0:0 ✺
10.08.24	Phoenix Rising - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:0 ✺
03.08.24	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Phoenix Rising	2:0 ✺
26.07.24	Hartford Athletic - Phoenix Rising	0:0 ✺
19.07.24	Phoenix Rising - El Paso Locomotive	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
29.04.23	Phoenix Rising - Loudoun United	3:1
18.06.22	Loudoun United - Phoenix Rising	4:3

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