Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 10 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Wild Horse Pass Stadium (Chandler, AZ)

Referee: Ndiaye A. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS, Paramount+
World	Disney+


	Phoenix Rising		Tampa Bay Rowdies

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.2	3.2	2
	3.2	3.3	2.15
	4.52	3.67	1.7
	3.45	3.34	2.1	Watch
	3.36	3.35	2.07	Watch
	3.2	3.3	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↓ (3.54)	3.36 ↓ (3.5)	2.03 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Phoenix Rising
26.6%

Draw
27.6%

Tampa Bay Rowdies
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

26.5%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

25.8%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Phoenix Rising - Tampa Bay Rowdies Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rios R. (G) 27. Wyke L. 4. Mar Boye P. 30. Fuenmayor A. 10. Varela F. 26. Zambrano R. (C) 12. Dennis C. 14. Cuello E. 72. Rito E. 9. Angel T. 77. Azocar J.	1. Farr J. (G) 22. Doherty J. 19. Kleemann F. 33. Guillen A. (C) 27. Niyongabire P. 17. Crisostomo D. 4. Hilton L. 23. Munjoma E. 26. Jennings C. 9. Arteaga M. 98. Perez J.
Substitutes
7. Barker D. 6. Doratiotto G. 29. Formella D. 8. Hernandez J. 47. Montgomery B. 31. Ping J. 22. Rakovsky P. (G) 17. Scearce J. 16. Torres G.	15. Breno P. (G) 42. Bubb Z. 34. De Jesus M. 10. Fernandes L. 16. Ortiz C. 8. Rivera D. 18. Worth N.
Coaches
Gomez D.	Neilson R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Perez J. 🟨,
42', Niyongabire P. ↓, Rivera D. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Crisostomo D. 🟨,
60', Dennis C. 🟨,
66', Varela F. ↓, Doratiotto G. ↑,
66', Cuello E. ↓, Torres G. ↑,
67', Crisostomo D. ↓, Worth N. ↑,
80', Dennis C. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
80', Rito E. ↓, Barker D. ↑,
85', Perez J. ↓, Fernandes L. ↑,
85', Jennings C. ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
85', Munjoma E. ↓, Bubb Z. ↑,
89', Azocar J. ↓, Formella D. ↑,
90', Barker D. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).

Phoenix Rising is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tampa Bay is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tampa Bay could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Phoenix Rising have a series of guest games.

Tampa Bay will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Phoenix Rising won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Phoenix Rising won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Phoenix Rising
USL Championship
03.08.24	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Phoenix Rising	2:0 ✺
26.07.24	Hartford Athletic - Phoenix Rising	0:0 ✺
19.07.24	Phoenix Rising - El Paso Locomotive	2:0 ✺
06.07.24	San Antonio - Phoenix Rising	2:1 ✺
28.06.24	Memphis 901 - Phoenix Rising	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTWLL
- Tampa Bay Rowdies
USL Championship
03.08.24	Monterey Bay - Tampa Bay Rowdies	2:2 ✺
27.07.24	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Charleston Battery	4:2 ✺
20.07.24	Indy Eleven - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:2 ✺
13.07.24	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Orange County SC	2:0 ✺
06.07.24	Detroit City - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
06.05.23	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Phoenix Rising	2:0
15.05.22	Phoenix Rising - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:5
15.05.21	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Phoenix Rising	2:1
01.11.20	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Phoenix Rising	Canceled

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