Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 27 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Lynn Family Stadium (Louisville, KY)

Referee: Corrigan M. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


North-central-america	ESPNPlay Caribbean
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	Louisville City		Monterey Bay

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.25	5.25	8.25
	1.25	5.5	9.5
	1.28	5.55	9.74
	1.31	5.29	8.99	Watch
	1.27	5.5	9.1	Watch
	1.28	5.2	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.37)	5.38 ↑ (4.75)	8.93 ↑ (6.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Louisville City
72.5%

Draw
17.2%

Monterey Bay
10.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

19.1%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

19.2%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Louisville City's performance.

Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Louisville City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Louisville City - Monterey Bay Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Las D. (G) 4. Totsch S. 5. Ordonez A. 6. Charpie W. 2. McFadden A. 23. Wynder E. 17. Davila T. 3. Morris J. 20. Gleadle S. 14. Harris W. 7. Serrano R.	16. Siaha A. (G) 3. Doner M. 30. Greene K. 4. Lara A. 11. Martinez W. 13. Fehr M. 10. Baca R. 15. Dixon A. 7. Rebollar A. 19. Enriquez J. 9. Trager T.
Substitutes
32. Adams K. 13. Dia A. 12. Faundez D. (G) 22. Mares D. 11. McCabe N. 8. Moguel Jr. C. 80. Stamps H. 25. Wilson J.	64. Ayon J. 32. Gallaway P. 99. Gnaulati X. 18. Gonzalez M. 5. Guzman C. 21. Herrera C. (G) 20. Orendain A.
Coaches
Cruz D.	Yallop F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Morris J. ⚽, Serrano R. (A),
7', 2 - 0, Harris W. ⚽, McFadden A. (A),
24', 2 - 1, Fehr M. ⚽, Trager T. (A),
27', Martinez W. 🟨,
28', 3 - 1, Wynder E. ⚽, Davila T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Rebollar A. ↓, Gnaulati X. ↑,
62', McFadden A. ↓, Wilson J. ↑,
62', Morris J. ↓, Dia A. ↑,
63', Dixon A. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
71', Enriquez J. ↓, Ayon J. ↑,
72', Davila T. ↓, Mares D. ↑,
72', Harris W. ↓, McCabe N. ↑,
81', 4 - 1, Gleadle S. ⚽,
86', Trager T. ↓, Orendain A. ↑,
86', Lara A. ↓, Guzman C. ↑,
87', Wynder E. ↓, Moguel Jr. C. ↑,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Louisville City is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Louisville City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Louisville City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Louisville City FC
USL Championship
19.07.24	Louisville City - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	2:1 ✺
06.07.24	Oakland Roots - Louisville City	1:0 ✺
29.06.24	Birmingham Legion - Louisville City	1:4 ✺
22.06.24	Louisville City - Rhode Island	2:5 ✺
19.06.24	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Louisville City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWLW
- Monterey Bay FC
USL Championship
13.07.24	Monterey Bay - Tulsa	0:0 ✺
06.07.24	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Monterey Bay	0:1 ✺
29.06.24	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Monterey Bay	1:0 ✺
22.06.24	Monterey Bay - Oakland Roots	2:1 ✺
16.06.24	North Carolina - Monterey Bay	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
18.03.23	Monterey Bay - Louisville City	0:1
21.05.22	Louisville City - Monterey Bay	0:2

Upcoming Matches