Match Info

Date: 25 May 2022, Wednesday

Location: Lynn Family Stadium (Louisville)


	Louisville City		Nashville SC

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.1
	3.15	3.2	2.07
	3.05	3.2	2.18
	3.18	3.35	2.25
	2.9	3.1	2.15
	3.1	3.45	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↓ (3.45)	3.25 ↑ (3)	2.17 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Louisville City
29.7%

Draw
28.1%

Nashville SC
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

29.7%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

30.9%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Nashville SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.3%	8.7%	13%

Louisville City - Nashville SC Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Louisville City will win (votes: 18 - 78.3%). Nashville will win (votes: 3 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Louisville City: 61.5% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Louisville City is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nashville is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Louisville City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Nashville have a series of home games.

Nashville will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Louisville City won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Louisville City won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Louisville City FC
USL Championship
21.05.22	Louisville City - Monterey Bay	0:2 ✺
13.05.22	LA Galaxy II - Louisville City	4:3 ✺
04.05.22	Atlanta United II - Louisville City	0:4 ✺
30.04.22	Louisville City - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2:0 ✺
23.04.22	Charleston Battery - Louisville City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWWT
- Nashville SC
MLS
21.05.22	Nashville SC - Atlanta United	2:2 ✺
18.05.22	Nashville SC - CF Montréal	2:1 ✺
14.05.22	Houston Dynamo - Nashville SC	2:0 ✺
US Open Cup
11.05.22	Nashville SC - Atlanta United	3:2 ET ✺
MLS
08.05.22	Nashville SC - Real Salt Lake	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
08.10.19	Nashville SC - Louisville City	2:1
06.07.19	Louisville City - Nashville SC	2:1
18.08.18	Louisville City - Nashville SC	0:0
US Open Cup
20.06.18	Louisville City - Nashville SC	2:1
USL Championship
13.05.18	Nashville SC - Louisville City	2:0

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