The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Louisville City 65.4%
Draw 19.9%
New Mexico United 14.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.9%
21.5%
17.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.5%
20.6%
17%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Louisville City - New Mexico United Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Louisville City (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Faundez D. (G) 5. Ordonez A. 24. Jones J. 32. Adams K. (C) 2. McFadden A. 17. Davila T. 31. Lambert K. 3. Morris J. 25. Wilson J. 9. Goodrum P. 7. Serrano R.
13. Shakes K. (G) 19. Bailey Z. 16. Seymore W. 24. Lindsey J. 3. Gloster C. 15. Jabang O. 23. Amang T. 11. Akale M. 4. Keller K. 21. Noel V. 17. Hurst G. (C)
Substitutes
83. Dayes B. 13. Dia A. 53. Lancaster C. 11. McCabe N. 10. Ownby B. 16. Perez A. 80. Stamps H. 4. Totsch S. 30. Troutman R. (G)
. Archimede L. 5. Harris D. 7. Rivas S. 22. Ryden K. 1. Tambakis A. (G) 8. Vargas M. 6. Zelalem G.
Coaches
Cruz D.
Sanchez D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Ordonez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ordonez A. ↓, Totsch S. ↑,
67', Serrano R. ↓, Ownby B. ↑,
67', Goodrum P. ↓, Lancaster C. ↑,
67', Morris J. ↓, Dia A. ↑,
69', Jabang O. ↓, Rivas S. ↑,
72', Amang T. ↓, Archimede L. ↑,
73', Hurst G. ↓, Ryden K. ↑,
73', Akale M. ↓, Harris D. ↑,
83', Wilson J. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
Louisville City is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
New Mexico's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Louisville City is the undeniable favorite.
We predict that Louisville City will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
Including home match between the teams, Louisville City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.