Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 26 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Lynn Family Stadium (Louisville)

Referee: Ndiaye A. (Usa)


	Louisville City		Oakland Roots

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.73	3.55	4.3
	1.84	3.63	4.07
	1.76	3.6	4.15	Watch
	1.8	3.55	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.05)	3.58 ↑ (3.4)	4.12 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Louisville City
51.8%

Draw
25.8%

Oakland Roots
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

27.1%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

27%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Louisville City's performance.

Oakland Roots has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oakland Roots might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Louisville City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oakland Roots than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oakland Roots could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Louisville City - Oakland Roots Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Semmle O. (G) 19. Jimenez O. 8. Moguel Jr. C. 15. Perez E. 6. Charpie W. 9. Gonzalez J. 4. Totsch S. 23. Wynder E. 14. Harris W. 7. Serrano R. 36. Del Piccolo P. (C)	20. Blanchette P. (G) 21. Klimenta E. 13. Hackshaw N. 14. Barbir D. 10. Mfeka L. 6. Morad T. (C) 19. Prentice W. 23. Diaz M. 7. Matsoso N. 11. Reid T. 17. Rodriguez J.
Substitutes
32. Adams K. 18. Faundez D. (G) 12. Gibson T. 17. Lancaster C. 10. Ownby B. 5. Pedersen R. 90. Pouwels M.	47. Bailey T. (G) 22. Cedeno J. 8. Donasiyano I. 15. Gomez D. 16. Her R. 18. Pelaez A.
Coaches
Cruz D.	Delgado N.

Preview

Recent matches Louisville City is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oakland Roots is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Oakland Roots could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Louisville City is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Louisville City FC
USL Championship
19.08.23	Birmingham Legion - Louisville City	2:0 ✺
12.08.23	Louisville City - Rio Grande Valley	2:2 ✺
09.08.23	Louisville City - Charleston Battery	1:1 ✺
04.08.23	Tulsa - Louisville City	0:3 ✺
29.07.23	Louisville City - Indy Eleven	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTTWW
- Oakland Roots
USL Championship
23.08.23	New Mexico United - Oakland Roots	1:2 ✺
19.08.23	Oakland Roots - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	2:3 ✺
04.08.23	Charleston Battery - Oakland Roots	0:1 ✺
29.07.23	Oakland Roots - Detroit City	1:1 ✺
26.07.23	Oakland Roots - Las Vegas Lights	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLWTW

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