Match Info

Date: 25 April 2021, Sunday


	Lucchese		Lecco

	1	X	2
	3.5	3	2.1
	3	3.1	2.2
	2.7	3.2	2.3
	3.05	3.05	2.21
	3.05	3.29	2.15
	3.1	3	2.38
	3.02	3.18	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.89)	3.12 ↑ (2.92)	2.23 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucchese
29.8%

Draw
29.3%

Lecco
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

30.9%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

22.4%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Lecco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lucchese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lecco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lucchese - Lecco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C to Play Out and 5 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Lecco is Qualified for Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Lecco could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lecco will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group A
18.04.21	Carrarese - Lucchese	3:1 ✺
11.04.21	Lucchese - Livorno	0:0 ✺
03.04.21	Piacenza - Lucchese	1:1 ✺
28.03.21	Alessandria - Lucchese	5:2 ✺
21.03.21	Lucchese - Pistoiese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTTLW
- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
21.04.21	Pro Vercelli - Lecco	1:3 ✺
18.04.21	Lecco - Olbia	1:1 ✺
03.04.21	Lecco - Pro Patria	0:1 ✺
31.03.21	Pergolettese - Lecco	2:2 ✺
27.03.21	Pistoiese - Lecco	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
10.01.21	Lecco - Lucchese	2:2

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