Match Info

Date: 11 April 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Lucchese		Livorno

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.55
	2.7	3.1	2.4
	2.55	2.9	2.7
	2.65	2.85	2.6
	2.56	3.05	2.65
	2.5	3	2.88
	2.66	2.98	2.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.3)	3 ↑ (3)	2.64 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucchese
34.9%

Draw
30.5%

Livorno
34.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.1%

30.1%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

20.9%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Livorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lucchese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Livorno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lucchese - Livorno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C to Play Out and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Lucchese is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Livorno is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Lucchese won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group A
03.04.21	Piacenza - Lucchese	1:1 ✺
28.03.21	Alessandria - Lucchese	5:2 ✺
21.03.21	Lucchese - Pistoiese	1:0 ✺
17.03.21	Giana Erminio - Lucchese	4:3 ✺
14.03.21	Lucchese - Pro Sesto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLWLL
- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group A
03.04.21	Livorno - Pistoiese	5:0 ✺
28.03.21	Livorno - Pro Vercelli	2:1 ✺
21.03.21	Pontedera - Livorno	1:1 ✺
16.03.21	Livorno - Grosseto	2:2 ✺
13.03.21	Carrarese - Livorno	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
20.12.20	Livorno - Lucchese	1:1
22.01.18	Lucchese - Livorno	1:1
20.09.17	Livorno - Lucchese	3:0
05.02.17	Lucchese - Livorno	0:0
18.09.16	Livorno - Lucchese	1:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group B
01.11.26	Livorno - Ostia Mare	✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.10.26	Spezia - Livorno	✺

Lucchese - Livorno