Match Info

SWITZERLAND: SUPER LEAGUE - ROUND 19

Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio di Cornaredo (Lugano)

Referee: Wolfensberger S. (Sui)


	Lugano		Lausanne Ouchy

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.8	4.5	Watch
	1.72	3.8	4.4	Watch
	1.72	3.75	4.5	Watch
	1.73	4.18	4.27
	1.75	4.14	4.5
	1.65	3.8	4
	1.74	3.95	4.48	Watch
	1.72	3.85	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.69)	3.91 ↓ (4.03)	4.38 ↑ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugano
54.6%

Draw
24%

Lausanne Ouchy
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

23.2%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

22.5%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Lausanne Ouchy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lausanne Ouchy than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	7.7%	23.1%

Lugano - Lausanne Ouchy Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Lausanne Ouchy will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lugano: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Berbic S. (G) 6. Espinoza J. 17. Mai L. 4. Hajrizi K. 5. Hajdari A. 14. Sabbatini J. 20. Doumbia O. 25. Bislimi U. 21. Cimignani Y. 18. Mahou H. 19. Vladi S.	1. Da Silva D. (G) 29. Abdallah M. 4. Pos L. 5. Hajrulahu L. 19. Ouedraogo D. 16. Eberhard M. 17. Ajdini A. 76. Hamdiu V. 24. Akichi E. 14. Gharbi I. 99. Kyeremateng G.
Substitutes
10. Bottani M. 9. Celar Z. 8. Durrer A. 22. El Wafi A. 16. Grgic A. 26. Marques M. 99. Mina D. (G) 48. Morandi R.	6. Bamba G. 8. Bayard R. 49. Camara S. 11. Damascan V. 20. Garcia N. 18. Mulaj L. 10. Qarri M. 74. Vachoux J. (G)
Coaches
Croci-Torti M.	Dionisio R.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).

Recent matches Lugano is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lausanne Ouchy is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lugano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Lugano have a series of home games.

In this match Lugano is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lugano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lugano
Club Friendly
17.01.24	Lugano - Paradiso	1:1 ✺
12.01.24	Lugano - Schaffhausen	1:0 ✺
09.01.24	Lugano - Genk	0:4 ✺
Swiss Super League
17.12.23	Servette - Lugano	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.12.23	Lugano - Beşiktaş	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWLTL
- Lausanne Ouchy
Club Friendly
06.01.24	Thun - Lausanne Ouchy	0:1 ✺
Swiss Super League
16.12.23	Lausanne Ouchy - Young Boys	1:3 ✺
10.12.23	Yverdon - Lausanne Ouchy	2:1 ✺
06.12.23	Young Boys - Lausanne Ouchy	1:0 ✺
02.12.23	Lausanne Ouchy - Basel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Super League
26.07.23	Lausanne Ouchy - Lugano	0:3

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