Match Info

Super League - Round 6

Date: 3 September 2026, Thursday

Location: AIL Arena (Lugano)

Referee: Sanli H. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Lugano		Servette

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.50	2.57	Watch
	2.45	3.50	2.65
	2.43	3.45	2.65
	2.65	3.75	2.74
	2.04	3.79	3.35	Watch
	2.50	3.45	2.80
	2.44	3.48	2.67	Watch
	2.50	3.55	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.03)	3.56 ↓ (3.82)	2.76 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 0.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugano
38.9%

Draw
26.7%

Servette
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

24.7%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

24%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lugano's form might have worsened.

Servette has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Servette's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lugano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Servette than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Servette, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	18.2%	0%

Lugano - Servette Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lugano (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (2.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (2.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Lugano (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lugano will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lugano (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. von Ballmoos D. (G) 6. Papadopoulos A. 4. Kelvin D. 3. Delcroix H. 25. Bislimi U. 2. Karimov B. 14. Kendouci A. 27. Dos Santos D. 21. Cimignani Y. 11. Steffen R. (C) 30. Moncada D.	1. Gertmonas E. (G) 23. Maceiras Q. 4. Rouiller S. 15. Burch M. 18. Mazikou B. 8. Cognat T. (C) 6. Pedro Naressi 77. Ouattara T. 9. Stevanovic M. 14. Njoh L. 90. Mraz S.
Substitutes
23. Ajdin G. 9. Ajeti Al. 18. Bichsel J. 22. Castro Espinosa B. D. 28. Gebhardt F. (G) 8. Grgic A. 17. Mai L. 24. Pihlstrom E. 46. Zanotti M.	34. Allix T. 37. Djoho S. 28. Douline D. 27. Fofana D. D. 36. Lopes T. 17. Mendes H. 7. Mutandwa K. 44. Rieder L. (G) 20. Simo J.
Coaches
Croci-Torti M.	Gourvennec J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Kendouci A. 🟨,
20', Mraz S. (Penalty Awarded),
28', Moncada D. 🟨,
38', Pedro Naressi 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kendouci A. ↓, Grgic A. ↑,
58', Cognat T. 🟨,
60', Mraz S. ↓, Mutandwa K. ↑,
67', Karimov B. ↓, Zanotti M. ↑,
67', Moncada D. ↓, Ajeti Al. ↑,
70', Ouattara T. ↓, Lopes T. ↑,
70', Pedro Naressi ↓, Douline D. ↑,
74', Dos Santos D. ↓, Pihlstrom E. ↑,
80', Maceiras Q. ↓, Mendes H. ↑,
80', Njoh L. ↓, Fofana D. D. ↑,
90+2', Cimignani Y. ↓, Castro Espinosa B. D. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 0, Ajeti Al. ⚽, Castro Espinosa B. D. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 1.

Lugano is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Servette has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lugano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Lugano could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Lugano: Alioski E. (Injury) Behrens K. (Inactive) Cassano C. (Knee Injury) Marques M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Servette: Severin Y. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:31. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Lugano won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.4:1.1).

Outrights of Swiss Super League for now

Lugano: 42.36% Servette: 2.4%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lugano	9	8	1	0	27:7	20	25
8	Servette	9	3	1	5	11:13	-2	10

Last Results with these Odds

Lugano - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 46.55%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Servette - the odds 3.29 are the expected chance of winning is 28.72%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lugano
Swiss Super League
30.08.26	Sion - Lugano	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Lugano	1:1 ✺
20.08.26	Lugano - Maccabi Tel Aviv	2:1 ✺
13.08.26	NSÍ Runavík - Lugano	2:2 ✺
Swiss Super League
09.08.26	Lugano - Zürich	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTWTW
- Servette FC
Swiss Super League
29.08.26	Servette - Luzern	1:1 ✺
Swiss Cup
15.08.26	Bavois - Servette	0:7 ✺
Swiss Super League
08.08.26	Servette - Grasshoppers	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Zürich - Servette	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Servette - Basel	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Super League
11.02.26	Lugano - Servette	1:1
14.12.25	Lugano - Servette	4:2
26.10.25	Servette - Lugano	2:1
15.05.25	Servette - Lugano	4:1
29.03.25	Lugano - Servette	0:2
01.12.24	Servette - Lugano	3:0
03.08.24	Lugano - Servette	3:1

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