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The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lugano 45.1%
Draw 23.9%
Young Boys 31%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38%
23.3%
38.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.7%
23.5%
39%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lugano's performance.
Young Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Young Boys might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lugano that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Young Boys than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Young Boys could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
66.7%
0%
Lugano - Young Boys Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.5 - Young Boys (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Young Boys (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. von Ballmoos D. (G) 6. Papadopoulos A. 17. Mai L. 3. Delcroix H. 2. Karimov B. 25. Bislimi U. 8. Grgic A. 27. Dos Santos D. 21. Cimignani Y. 11. Steffen R. (C) 30. Moncada D.
1. Keller M. (G) 22. Schmidt I. 30. Lauper S. 23. Benito L. (C) 33. Bukinac S. 8. Gigovic A. 6. Fernandes E. 16. Fassnacht C. 10. Sanches A. 7. Virginius A. 99. Essende S.
Substitutes
23. Ajdin G. 9. Ajeti Al. 7. Alioski E. 18. Bichsel J. 22. Castro Espinosa B. D. 28. Gebhardt F. (G) 4. Kelvin D. 14. Kendouci A. 24. Pihlstrom E.
27. Blum L. 34. Etoski E. 12. Guirassy H. 17. Janko S. 4. Jenz M. 18. Mall J. (G) 13. Pech D. 9. Sene M. K. 52. Tschanz N.
Coaches
Croci-Torti M.
Seoane G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 1 - 0, Dos Santos D. ⚽, Papadopoulos A. (A),
21', Steffen R. ↓, Pihlstrom E. ↑,
28', 1 - 1, Essende S. ⚽, Fassnacht C. (A),
45', 1 - 2, Fassnacht C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', von Ballmoos D. ↓, Gebhardt F. ↑,
46', Schmidt I. ↓, Blum L. ↑,
49', Mai L. 🟨,
61', Lauper S. 🟨,
62', Papadopoulos A. 🟨,
65', Virginius A. ↓, Guirassy H. ↑,
67', Mai L. ↓, Ajeti Al. ↑,
68', Cimignani Y. ↓, Alioski E. ↑,
75', Dos Santos D. 🟨,
80', 2 - 2, Ajeti Al. ⚽, Moncada D. (A),
81', Essende S. ↓, Sene M. K. ↑,
86', Lauper S. ↓, Jenz M. ↑,
86', Gigovic A. ↓, Pech D. ↑,
89', Moncada D. ↓, Castro Espinosa B. D. ↑,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 2.
Lugano has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Young Boys is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Lugano: Alioski E.
(Injury)
Behrens K.
(Inactive)
Cassano C.
(Knee Injury)
Marques M.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Young Boys: Andrews R.
(Muscle Injury)
Conte F.
(Knee Injury)
Kabeya B.
(Injury)
Zesiger C.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:34. (average 1.3:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Lugano won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.7:1.5).
Outrights of Swiss Super League for now
Lugano: 42.36% Young Boys: 25.06%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Lugano
9
8
1
0
27:7
20
25
2
Young Boys
9
5
4
0
31:18
13
19
Last Results with these Odds
Lugano - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.97%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.
Young Boys - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.75%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.