Match Info

Super League - Round 3

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday

Location: AIL Arena (Lugano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 9
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Lugano		Zürich

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.75	6.50	Watch
	1.46	4.60	6.25
	1.46	4.50	5.80
	1.49	4.87	6.85
	1.52	4.54	5.72	Watch
	1.44	4.75	6.75
	1.43	4.69	6.42	Watch
	1.45	4.80	6.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.52)	4.69 ↑ (4.23)	6.31 ↑ (6.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugano
64.9%

Draw
20.2%

Zürich
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

22.3%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

21.8%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Zürich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zürich than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Lugano - Zürich Predictions

Users Predictions: Lugano will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. von Ballmoos D. (G) 6. Papadopoulos A. 17. Mai L. 3. Delcroix H. 46. Zanotti M. 8. Grgic A. 25. Bislimi U. 21. Cimignani Y. 11. Steffen R. (C) 24. Pihlstrom E. 91. Behrens K.	13. Lindner H. (G) 3. Hodza S. 2. Kamberi L. (C) 27. Sauter I. 43. Volken N. 21. Schodler L. 7. Krasniqi B. 8. Comenencia L. 23. Berisha V. 11. Emmanuel U. 19. Keny P. P.
Substitutes
23. Ajdin G. 18. Bichsel J. 22. Castro Espinosa B. D. 27. Dos Santos D. 28. Gebhardt F. (G) 4. Kelvin D. 14. Kendouci A. 26. Marques M. 30. Moncada D.	18. Bangoura M. 14. Di Giusto N. 42. Hack A. 9. Perea J. 60. Pinthus-Duah T. (G) 49. Ramic D. 38. Reichmuth M. 17. Spadanuda K. 44. Walker S.
Coaches
Croci-Torti M.	Koller M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Behrens K. ⚽, Delcroix H. (A),
20', Hodza S. 🟨,
33', Berisha V. 🟨,
34', 2 - 0, Behrens K. ⚽, Grgic A. (A),
44', Krasniqi B. ↓, Perea J. ↑,
44', Berisha V. ↓, Spadanuda K. ↑,
45+1', Comenencia L. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
52', 3 - 0, Steffen R. ⚽, von Ballmoos D. (A),
62', Pihlstrom E. ↓, Dos Santos D. ↑,
67', Emmanuel U. ↓, Di Giusto N. ↑,
67', Schodler L. ↓, Bangoura M. ↑,
70', Bislimi U. ↓, Kendouci A. ↑,
70', Behrens K. ↓, Moncada D. ↑,
79', 4 - 0, Dos Santos D. ⚽, Zanotti M. (A),
80', Steffen R. ↓, Marques M. ↑,
80', Delcroix H. ↓, Kelvin D. ↑,
89', 5 - 0, Moncada D. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 4.

Lugano is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Zürich has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lugano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Zürich has had a series of home games.

In this match, Lugano is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Lugano: Cassano C. (Knee Injury) Marques M. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Zürich: Huber S. (Injury) Vujevic D. (Muscle Injury)

We predict that Lugano will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:27. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Lugano won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.3:1.1).

Outrights of Swiss Super League for now

Lugano: 42.36% Zurich: 1.66%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lugano	9	8	1	0	27:7	20	25
7	Zurich	9	3	2	4	14:20	-6	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lugano
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	Lugano - NSÍ Runavík	2:0 ✺
Swiss Super League
02.08.26	Grasshoppers - Lugano	1:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
29.07.26	Dukagjini - Lugano	1:5 ✺
Swiss Super League
26.07.26	Lugano - Vaduz	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.26	Lugano - Dukagjini	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWW
- FC Zürich
Swiss Super League
01.08.26	Zürich - Servette	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	St. Gallen - Zürich	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Zürich - Greuther Fürth	2:3 ✺
10.07.26	Zürich - Sochaux	1:2 ✺
04.07.26	Zürich - Kriens	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Super League
11.04.26	Zürich - Lugano	0:1
17.12.25	Zürich - Lugano	0:1
18.10.25	Lugano - Zürich	1:0
02.03.25	Lugano - Zürich	0:3
24.11.24	Lugano - Zürich	4:1
06.10.24	Zürich - Lugano	1:1
20.05.24	Zürich - Lugano	2:1

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