Match Info

SPAIN: COPA DEL REY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 6 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Anxo Carro (Lugo)

Referee: Fuertes P. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Hungary	Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Lugo		Atlético Madrid

	1	X	2
	12	7	1.2	Watch
	13.5	6.5	1.22	Watch
	13	6	1.22
	13.5	6.91	1.22
	13.29	6.91	1.18
	12	5.8	1.17	Watch
	13	6.5	1.22	Watch
	12	6	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	12.79 ↑ (12.19)	6.45 ↑ (5.94)	1.2 ↓ (1.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugo
7.4%

Draw
14.6%

Atlético Madrid
78.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

7.6%

15.6%

76.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	0%	93.7%

Lugo - Atlético Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: Atlético Madrid will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Tabuaco G. (G) 12. Louis-Jean J. 4. Perez G. 6. Castrin A. 22. Lopez A. 18. Jozabed (C) 20. Ojeda T. 9. Quintana Nacho 11. Antonin 23. Antonetti L. 15. Narro V.	13. Oblak J. (C) 3. Azpilicueta C. 2. Gimenez J. M. 4. Soyuncu C. 16. Molina N. 25. Riquelme R. 20. Witsel A. 8. Niguez S. 17. Galan J. 10. Correa A. 9. Depay M.
Substitutes
21. Abdulai S. 8. Aguza S. 10. Aranda A. 5. Bernardo 1. Diaz Parcero L. (G) 19. Fuentes A. 27. Gonzalez J. 7. Ledesma L. 2. Martinez C. 14. Morgado C. 3. Vazquez J.	5. de Paul R. 23. Gismera A. 31. Gomis A. (G) 1. Grbic I. (G) 7. Griezmann A. 22. Hermoso M. 6. Koke 12. Lino S. 14. Llorente M. 19. Morata A. 28. Moreno M.
Coaches
Alves P.	Simeone D.

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Atlético could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Atlético is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lugo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.01.24	Lugo - Celta de Vigo B	0:1 ✺
16.12.23	Cornellà - Lugo	1:0 ✺
10.12.23	Lugo - Barcelona B	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.12.23	Lugo - Mirandés	2:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.12.23	Sestao - Lugo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLTWW
- Atlético Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
03.01.24	Girona - Atlético Madrid	4:3 ✺
23.12.23	Atlético Madrid - Sevilla	1:0 ✺
19.12.23	Atlético Madrid - Getafe	3:3 ✺
16.12.23	Athletic Bilbao - Atlético Madrid	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.12.23	Atlético Madrid - Lazio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWTLW

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