Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 32

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Anxo Carro (Lugo)

Referee: Fuentes Molina A. (Esp)


	Lugo		Racing Santander

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.88	2.55	Watch
	2.95	2.7	2.55
	2.88	2.85	2.75
	3	2.75	2.5
	3.22	2.84	2.7
	3.13	2.78	2.65	Watch
	3.1	2.8	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.75)	2.8 ↓ (2.93)	2.61 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugo
30.7%

Draw
33.5%

Racing Santander
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

31.3%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

31.4%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Racing Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	43.7%	37.5%

Lugo - Racing Santander Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Lugo will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Racing will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.5% – 68.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 17).

Lugo has the most likely position - 22 (53.94%), project points - 35, currently - 24, a very good chance of relegated (98%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

Racing has the most likely position - 18 (15.24%), project points - 50, currently - 37, a small chance of relegated (13%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lugo won 2.

Lugo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Racing is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Racing could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Lugo won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Lugo won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lugo
Spanish LaLiga2
11.03.23	Deportivo Alavés - Lugo	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	Lugo - Zaragoza	0:0 ✺
26.02.23	Levante - Lugo	3:1 ✺
18.02.23	Lugo - Eibar	0:2 ✺
11.02.23	Las Palmas - Lugo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TTLLL
- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
13.03.23	Racing Santander - Huesca	1:1 ✺
05.03.23	Málaga - Racing Santander	0:1 ✺
25.02.23	Racing Santander - FC Andorra	2:1 ✺
19.02.23	Villarreal B - Racing Santander	2:1 ✺
13.02.23	Racing Santander - Leganés	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
04.12.22	Racing Santander - Lugo	0:1
13.06.20	Racing Santander - Lugo	1:2
17.11.19	Lugo - Racing Santander	1:1
Club Friendly
27.07.18	Lugo - Racing Santander	1:1
Spanish LaLiga2
18.04.15	Racing Santander - Lugo	1:0
16.11.14	Lugo - Racing Santander	0:0
23.03.13	Lugo - Racing Santander	3:2

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