Match Info

Date: 29 August 2021, Sunday


	Lugo		Valladolid

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.2	2	Watch
	4	3	2.05
	4.2	2.95	2.05	Watch
	4	3	2
	4.33	3.18	2.07
	3.7	2.9	2.15	Watch
	3.94	3.24	2.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.1 ↑ (3.74)	3.07 ↑ (2.95)	2.05 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugo
23.1%

Draw
30.8%

Valladolid
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

31.8%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

23.8%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valladolid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lugo - Valladolid Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Lugo has the most likely position - 22 (12.32%), has project points - 46, has currently - 2, has a chance of relegated (39%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (6%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Valladolid has the most likely position - 1 (26.62%), has project points - 77, has currently - 4, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (33%), has a good chance of promoted (54%), has a chance of win league (27%).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Valladolid will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Lugo won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Lugo won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lugo
Spanish LaLiga2
21.08.21	Lugo - Real Sociedad B	0:0 ✺
15.08.21	Real Oviedo - Lugo	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.21	Lugo - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
28.07.21	Compostela - Lugo	0:3 ✺
21.07.21	Lugo - Ponferradina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TTTWW
- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga2
20.08.21	Valladolid - Zaragoza	2:0 ✺
15.08.21	Las Palmas - Valladolid	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
06.08.21	Valladolid - Amorebieta	2:2 ✺
04.08.21	Valladolid - Rayo Vallecano	3:1 ✺
17.07.21	Cristo Atlético - Valladolid	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTTW?

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
24.03.18	Lugo - Valladolid	0:0
22.10.17	Valladolid - Lugo	2:2
26.02.17	Valladolid - Lugo	1:1
20.09.16	Lugo - Valladolid	1:0
01.05.16	Valladolid - Lugo	1:1
29.11.15	Lugo - Valladolid	1:1
01.02.15	Valladolid - Lugo	0:0

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