Match Info

Primera Division - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


El-salvador	TCS GO
Mexico	FOX Sports


	Luis Ángel Firpo		Atlético Balboa

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.40	3.60
	1.82	3.25	3.85
	1.93	3.62	3.92
	1.45	4.26	6.81	Watch
	1.41	4.20	6.85
	1.75	3.35	4.21
	1.88	3.35	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.38)	3.63 ↓ (4.35)	4.67 ↓ (6.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Luis Ángel Firpo
54.2%

Draw
25.7%

Atlético Balboa
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

20.7%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

20%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luis Ángel Firpo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luis Ángel Firpo's form might have worsened.

Atlético Balboa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Balboa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luis Ángel Firpo than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luis Ángel Firpo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Balboa than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Balboa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Luis Ángel Firpo - Atlético Balboa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Claros L. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 1, Rodriguez E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 2 - 1, Valencia J. ⚽,
56', Royero R. 🟨,
73', 3 - 1, Gonzalez M. E. ⚽,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5th in the Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 6th in the Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).

Recent results have been tough for Luis Ángel Firpo (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Atlético Balboa have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Luis Ángel Firpo may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Luis Ángel Firpo enters as the overwhelming favorite.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Luis Angel Firpo	13	7	4	2	23:9	14	25
10	Atletico Balboa	14	3	4	7	15:22	-7	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luis Ángel Firpo
CONCACAF Central American Cup
17.09.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Luis Ángel Firpo	3:0 ✺
El Salvador Primera Division
13.09.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Isidro Metapán	1:2 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
10.09.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:3 ✺
El Salvador Primera Division
06.09.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Inter Santa Tecla	3:0 ✺
30.08.26	CD FAS - Luis Ángel Firpo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL
- Atlético Balboa
El Salvador Primera Division
12.09.26	Atlético Balboa - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	3:1 ✺
08.09.26	INCA-Aruba - Atlético Balboa	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Atlético Balboa - Municipal Limeño	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Alianza San Miguel - Atlético Balboa	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Atlético Balboa - Fuerte San Francisco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLLW

Upcoming Matches