Match Info

RUSSIA: Russian Cup - Regions Path - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 September 2024, Wednesday


	Luki-Energiya		Baltika Kaliningrad

	1	X	2
	14	6.25	1.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	14 ↑ (7.75)	6.25 ↑ (4.35)	1.18 ↓ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luki-Energiya
6.6%

Draw
14.8%

Baltika Kaliningrad
78.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12%

21.3%

66.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.4%

20.6%

64.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luki-Energiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luki-Energiya's form might have worsened.

Baltika Kaliningrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Baltika Kaliningrad's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luki-Energiya than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luki-Energiya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Baltika Kaliningrad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Luki Energiya - Baltika Kaliningrad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Ryazanov D. (G) 7. Agaronyan M. 71. Bagdashkin R. 78. Fetisov E. 19. Ivanov I. 77. Korenblum A. 57. Lukin A. 37. Ovsyankin I. 8. Polyakov N. 66. Shabalin D. 10. Spodarets D.	44. Lyubakov E. (G) 10. Alex Fernandes 57. Begun D. 70. Eldarushev A. 23. Glushkov N. 3. Kalachev I. 7. Malyarov K. 9. Stefanovich I. 13. Terentjev D. 22. Titkov N. 21. Zazvonkin I.
Substitutes
6. Alelyunas M. 11. Butakov E. 13. Egorov A. 5. Gorbacov N. 21. Mayboroda M. 1. Vaulin D. (G) 87. Zhemaytis D.	87. Isik A. 94. Malysev V. 71. Mokin M. 18. Nikishin K. 97. Petrovskiy Y. 66. Tereshchuk N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Spodarets D. (Pen),
18', 1 - 1, Alex Fernandes ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 3)
1, Spodarets D. (Pen),
1, Nikishin K. (Pen),
2, Polyakov N. (Pen),
2, Stefanovich I. (Pen),
3, Mayboroda M. (Pen),
3, Zazvonkin I. (Pen),
4, Butakov E. (Pen),

Preview

Now both teams are in good shape.

Luki-Energiya could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Baltika is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luki-Energiya Velikiye Luki
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
22.09.24	Zenit 2 - Luki-Energiya	1:0 ✺
15.09.24	Luki-Energiya - Zvezda St. Petersburg	3:1 ✺
09.09.24	Rodina Moscow 3 - Luki-Energiya	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
05.09.24	Luki-Energiya - Ryazan	3:0 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
01.09.24	Volga Tver - Luki-Energiya	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWTWW
- Baltika Kaliningrad
Russian FNL
21.09.24	Baltika Kaliningrad - Arsenal Tula	0:0 ✺
16.09.24	Torpedo Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad	2:1 ✺
09.09.24	Baltika Kaliningrad - Tyumen	2:1 ✺
31.08.24	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:2 ✺
25.08.24	Baltika Kaliningrad - KAMAZ	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLWWW

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