Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 13

Date: 1 November 2024, Friday

Location: Kenilworth Road (Luton)

Referee: Whitestone D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Luton Town		West Bromwich Albion

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.5	2.4	Watch
	2.85	3.25	2.5
	2.81	3.35	2.51	Watch
	2.87	3.45	2.54
	2.84	3.36	2.5	Watch
	2.88	3.4	2.5
	2.81	3.48	2.43	Watch
	2.81	3.35	2.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.47)	3.39 ↑ (3.25)	2.49 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luton Town
33.6%

Draw
28.1%

West Bromwich Albion
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

29.1%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

29.6%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

West Bromwich Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting West Bromwich Albion's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for West Bromwich Albion than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for West Bromwich Albion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24%	44%	32%

Luton Town - West Bromwich Albion Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). West Bromwich will win (votes: 8 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 45.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.9% – 65.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Kaminski T. (G) 15. Mengi T. 6. McGuinness M. 3. Bell A. 27. Hashioka D. 8. Krauss T. 18. Clark J. 7. Moses V. 14. Chong T. 11. Adebayo E. 9. Morris C. (C)	1. Palmer A. (G) 2. Furlong D. 3. Holgate M. 14. Heggem T. 4. Styles C. 20. Racic U. 27. Mowatt A. 11. Diangana G. 7. Wallace J. (C) 18. Grant K. 9. Maja J.
Substitutes
26. Baptiste S. 19. Brown J. 38. Johnson J. 23. Krul T. (G) 17. Mpanzu P. 13. Nakamba M. 25. Taylor J. 20. Walsh L. 10. Woodrow C.	44. Cole D. 17. Diakite O. 19. Dobbin L. 31. Fellows T. 24. Frabotta G. 22. Johnston M. 8. Molumby J. 10. Swift J. 23. Wildsmith J. (G)
Coaches
Edwards R.	Corberan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', Furlong D. 🟨,
45+4', 0 - 1, Maja J. ⚽, Grant K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Moses V. ↓, Baptiste S. ↑,
55', Styles C. 🟨,
57', Adebayo E. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
57', Krauss T. ↓, Walsh L. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Chong T. ⚽,
63', Wallace J. ↓, Fellows T. ↑,
64', Diangana G. ↓, Cole D. ↑,
74', Racic U. ↓, Johnston M. ↑,
74', Maja J. ↓, Molumby J. ↑,
85', Grant K. ↓, Swift J. ↑,
90', Bell A. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Luton won 1.

Luton is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches West Bromwich is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Luton: Andersen M. (Leg Injury) Bell A. (Muscle Injury) Burke R. (Groin Injury) Doughty A. (Yellow Cards) Holmes T. (Red Card) Walters R. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in West Bromwich: Bartley K. (Injury) Dike D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Dobbin L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Luton: Mengi T. (Knee Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Luton won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7:11 (average 1:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Luton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luton Town
English League Championship
26.10.24	Coventry City - Luton Town	3:2 ✺
23.10.24	Luton Town - Sunderland	1:2 ✺
19.10.24	Luton Town - Watford	3:0 ✺
05.10.24	Sheffield United - Luton Town	2:0 ✺
01.10.24	Luton Town - Oxford United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLWLT
- West Bromwich Albion
English League Championship
26.10.24	West Bromwich Albion - Cardiff City	0:0 ✺
23.10.24	Blackburn Rovers - West Bromwich Albion	0:0 ✺
19.10.24	Oxford United - West Bromwich Albion	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	West Bromwich Albion - Millwall	0:0 ✺
01.10.24	West Bromwich Albion - Middlesbrough	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
14.01.23	Luton Town - West Bromwich Albion	2:3
08.10.22	West Bromwich Albion - Luton Town	0:0
19.02.22	Luton Town - West Bromwich Albion	2:0
14.08.21	West Bromwich Albion - Luton Town	3:2
01.02.20	West Bromwich Albion - Luton Town	2:0
17.08.19	Luton Town - West Bromwich Albion	1:2
English League Cup
14.08.18	West Bromwich Albion - Luton Town	1:0

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