The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Luton Town 36.2%
Draw 27.6%
Sunderland 36.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.2%
27.8%
34%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.8%
28.1%
34.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
38.5%
30.8%
30.8%
Luton Town - Sunderland Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Sunderland will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 13.8% – 69.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Kaminski T. (G) 27. Hashioka D. 6. McGuinness M. 29. Holmes T. 7. Moses V. 8. Krauss T. 18. Clark J. 45. Doughty A. 14. Chong T. 11. Adebayo E. 9. Morris C. (C)
1. Patterson A. (G) 32. Hume T. 26. Mepham C. 13. O'Nien L. 3. Cirkin D. 11. Rigg C. 4. Neil D. (C) 7. Bellingham J. 8. Browne A. 18. Isidor W. 14. Mundle R.
Substitutes
. Benagr B. 19. Brown J. 38. Johnson J. 23. Krul T. (G) 17. Mpanzu P. 13. Nakamba M. 37. Nelson Z. 25. Taylor J. 10. Woodrow C.
30. Aleksic M. 22. Aouchiche A. 9. Connolly A. 33. Hjelde L. F. 5. Johnson Z. 21. Moore S. (G) 10. Roberts P. 15. Rusyn N. 40. Watson T.
Coaches
Edwards R.
Le Bris R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Rigg C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 0 - 1, Rigg C. ⚽,
63', 1 - 1, Adebayo E. ⚽, Morris C. (A),
66', 1 - 2, Mundle R. ⚽, Neil D. (A),
67', Isidor W. ↓, Connolly A. ↑,
70', Chong T. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
70', Adebayo E. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
74', Patterson A. 🟨,
81', Mundle R. ↓, Roberts P. ↑,
81', Krauss T. ↓, Woodrow C. ↑,
90+1', Hashioka D. ↓, Taylor J. ↑,
90+3', Rigg C. ↓, Hjelde L. F. ↑,
Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 18 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Luton won 1.
Recent matches Luton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Sunderland is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Luton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Luton: Andersen M.
(Leg Injury)
Chong T.
(Muscle Injury)
Hashioka D.
(Leg Injury)
McGuinness M.
(Ankle Injury)
Morris C.
(Leg Injury)
There will not play in Sunderland: Alese A.
(Ankle Injury)
Huggins N.
(Knee Injury)
Poveda I.
(Muscle Injury)
Seelt J.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Luton: Mengi T.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Sunderland: Abdul Samed S.
(Injury)
Abdullahi A.
(Groin Injury)
Mayenda E.
(Knock)
Last 6 head-to-head matches Luton won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.2:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Luton won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).
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Kaminski T. (G) 
Hashioka D. 
McGuinness M. 
Holmes T. 
Moses V. 
Krauss T. 
Chong T. 
Hume T. 
Mepham C. 
Isidor W. 
Brown J. 
Mpanzu P. 
Nakamba M. 
Aleksic M. 
Hjelde L. F. 
Rusyn N. 
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