The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Luton Town 57%
Draw 24.1%
Oxford United 18.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.3%
23.8%
19.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.3%
22.6%
18.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
73.7%
15.8%
10.5%
Luton Town - Oxford United Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Oxford will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 53.9% – 93.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Kaminski T. (G) 16. Burke R. 6. McGuinness M. 15. Mengi T. 7. Moses V. 8. Krauss T. 13. Nakamba M. 45. Doughty A. 18. Clark J. (C) 19. Brown J. 11. Adebayo E.
1. Cumming J. (G) 30. Kioso P. 5. Moore E. 16. Nelson B. 3. Brown C. 4. Vaulks W. 19. Goodrham T. 20. Rodrigues R. 15. El Mizouni I. 17. Dale O. 9. Harris M.
Substitutes
29. Holmes T. 38. Johnson J. 17. Mpanzu P. 37. Nelson Z. 1. Shea J. (G) 25. Taylor J. 20. Walsh L. 2. Walters R. 10. Woodrow C.
23. Dembele S. 11. Ebiowei M. 29. Edwards K. 25. Goodwin W. 21. Ingram M. (G) 2. Long S. 44. Scarlett D. 14. Sibley L. . ter Avest H.
Coaches
Edwards R.
Buckingham D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Clark J. ⚽, Krauss T. (A),
37', 2 - 0, Krauss T. ⚽, Brown J. (A),
45', 2 - 1, Goodrham T. ⚽, El Mizouni I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dale O. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
48', Kioso P. 🟨,
51', Krauss T. ↓, Mpanzu P. ↑,
54', 2 - 2, Rodrigues R. ⚽, Edwards K. (A),
56', Doughty A. 🟨,
61', Brown J. ↓, Walters R. ↑,
68', El Mizouni I. 🟨,
74', Rodrigues R. ↓, Dembele S. ↑,
76', Nakamba M. ↓, Walsh L. ↑,
76', Clark J. ↓, Woodrow C. ↑,
77', Walsh L. 🟥,
84', Harris M. ↓, Scarlett D. ↑,
89', Moore E. 🟨,
90+2', Moore E. ↓, Long S. ↑,
90+6', Mpanzu P. 🟨,
90+7', Burke R. 🟨,
Preview
An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 and 11).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Luton won 3.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Oxford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Luton is a favorite.
There will not play in Luton: Baptiste S.
(Muscle Injury)
Brown J.
(Knee Injury)
Hashioka D.
(Leg Injury)
There will not play in Oxford: Bennett J.
(Muscle Injury)
Brannagan C.
(Muscle Injury)
Goodwin W.
(Ankle Injury)
McEachran J.
(Leg Injury)
Phillips M.
(Muscle Injury)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Luton won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:10 (average 2.1:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Luton won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:6 (average 2.3:1.5).
United-kingdom
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Kaminski T. (G) 
Burke R. 
McGuinness M. 
Moses V. 
Krauss T. 
Nakamba M. 
Brown J. 
Brown C. 
Vaulks W. 
Rodrigues R. 
El Mizouni I. 
Mpanzu P. 
ter Avest H. 
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