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Current Win Probability
Luton Town 61.4%
Draw 24.8%
Wigan Athletic 13.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.4%
24.3%
19.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.5%
26%
18.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wigan Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.2%
3.7%
11.1%
Luton Town - Wigan Athletic Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Luton Town will win
(22 of 25 users predict this - 88%). Confidence interval (95%): 75.26% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Luton Town will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Keeley J. (G) 17. Lonwijk N. 6. McGuinness M. 3. Naismith K. (C) 30. Kodua G. 23. Saville G. 8. Walsh L. 33. Bramall C. 18. Clark J. 7. Alli M. 9. Yates J.
1. Tickle S. (G) 4. Aimson W. 15. Kerr J. (C) 3. Fox M. 6. Weir J. 27. Brenan T. 16. Adeeko B. 19. Robinson L. 14. Trevitt R. 8. Wright C. 10. Mullin P.
Substitutes
26. Baptiste S. 22. Dabo L. 29. Holmes T. 37. Nelson Z. 20. Nordas L. 1. Shea J. (G) 10. Woodrow C.
37. Asamoah M. 11. Costelloe D. 44. Hungbo J. 9. Saydee C. 5. Sessegnon S. 18. Smith J. 12. Watson T. (G)
Coaches
Bloomfield M.
Lowe R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Saville G. ⚽, Walsh L. (A),
11', Brenan T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Brenan T. ↓, Asamoah M. ↑,
55', Kerr J. 🟨,
55', Bramall C. ↓, Nordas L. ↑,
66', Kodua G. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
67', Saville G. 🟨,
74', Wright C. ↓, Costelloe D. ↑,
74', Mullin P. ↓, Saydee C. ↑,
87', Robinson L. ↓, Smith J. ↑,
88', Weir J. ↓, Hungbo J. ↑,
90+2', Yates J. ↓, Holmes T. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 2.
Luton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Wigan is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
In this match, Luton is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Knee Injury)
Brown J.
(Ankle Injury)
Lockyer T.
(Ankle Injury)
Mengi T.
(Knee Injury)
Odoffin H.
(Muscle Injury)
Walters R.
(Groin Injury)
There will not play in Wigan: Adams J.
(Knee Injury)
Adeeko B.
(Inactive)
Mabaya I.
(Injury)
McManaman C.
(Inactive)
Rankine D.
(Inactive)
Smith M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Sze C.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Luton: Chong T.
(Groin Injury)
Jones I.
(Back Injury)
There are questionable in Wigan: Carragher J.
(Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Luton won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
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Keeley J. (G) 
Lonwijk N. 
Naismith K. (C) 
Kodua G. 
Saville G. 
Fox M. 
Baptiste S. 
Dabo L. 
Nordas L. 
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