Match Info

League One - Round 22

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday

Location: Kenilworth Road (Luton)

Referee: Whitestone D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Luton Town		Wycombe Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	3.3
	2.08	3.2	3.55	Watch
	2.1	3.27	3.53	Watch
	2.2	3	3.3
	2.14	3.18	3.51	Watch
	2.08	3.2	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.43)	3.18 ↓ (3.23)	3.48 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luton Town
43.7%

Draw
29.4%

Wycombe Wanderers
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

28.9%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

28%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luton Town's performance.

Wycombe Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wycombe Wanderers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luton Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wycombe Wanderers than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wycombe Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.7%	10.5%	15.8%

Luton Town - Wycombe Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Wycombe will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Luton (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Keeley J. (G) 17. Lonwijk N. 15. Mengi T. 5. Andersen M. 38. Johnson J. 8. Walsh L. 22. Fanne L. 30. Kodua G. 18. Clark J. (C) 33. Bramall C. 21. Wells N.	50. Norris W. (G) 2. Grimmer J. (C) 17. Casey D. 45. Hagelskjaer A. 3. Harvie D. 20. Henderson E. 42. Westergaard M. 7. Quitirna A. 10. Leahy L. 44. Onyedinma F. 11. Bell S.
Substitutes
19. Brown J. 14. Morris S. 37. Nelson Z. 16. Odoffin H. 23. Saville G. 1. Shea J. (G) 9. Yates J.	6. Allen T. 8. Boyd-Munce C. 23. Huggins N. 51. Lowry A. 21. Mullins J. 26. Taylor C. 1. van Sas M. (G)
Coaches
Wilshere J.	Duff M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Kodua G. ⚽, Fanne L. (A),
41', Westergaard M. 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, Kodua G. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', Westergaard M. ↓, Lowry A. ↑,
68', Wells N. ↓, Yates J. ↑,
68', Fanne L. ↓, Saville G. ↑,
70', 3 - 0, Clark J. ⚽, Yates J. (A),
75', Leahy L. ↓, Boyd-Munce C. ↑,
75', Quitirna A. ↓, Allen T. ↑,
76', Mengi T. ↓, Odoffin H. ↑,
76', Bramall C. ↓, Morris S. ↑,
78', 4 - 0, Morris S. ⚽,
79', Norris W. 🟨,
84', Clark J. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
87', Henderson E. ↓, Mullins J. ↑,
87', Onyedinma F. ↓, Huggins N. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 8 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 4.

Luton has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Wycombe has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Wycombe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Luton could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Al Hamadi A. (Inactive) Baptiste S. (Knee Injury) Jones I. (Injury) Nakamba M. (International duty) Odoffin H. (Inactive) Richards J. (Injury) Walters R. (Inactive)

There will not play in Wycombe: Abbott G. (Inactive) Scowen J. (Knee Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Luton won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:14. (average 1.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 2.1:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Luton Town - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.43%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luton Town
English League One
18.12.25	Reading - Luton Town	3:2 ✺
13.12.25	Luton Town - Port Vale	2:2 ✺
09.12.25	Leyton Orient - Luton Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
06.12.25	Fleetwood Town - Luton Town	3:2 penalties ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Luton Town - Exeter City	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTTLW
- Wycombe Wanderers
English League One
20.12.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Bolton Wanderers	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Burton Albion - Wycombe Wanderers	0:0 ✺
09.12.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Plymouth Argyle	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
06.12.25	Exeter City - Wycombe Wanderers	4:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Northampton Town - Wycombe Wanderers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
10.04.21	Wycombe Wanderers - Luton Town	1:3
03.10.20	Luton Town - Wycombe Wanderers	2:0
English League One
09.02.19	Luton Town - Wycombe Wanderers	3:0
English FA Cup
10.11.18	Luton Town - Wycombe Wanderers	2:0
English League One
01.09.18	Wycombe Wanderers - Luton Town	1:1
English League Two
30.01.18	Luton Town - Wycombe Wanderers	2:3
16.09.17	Wycombe Wanderers - Luton Town	1:2

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